Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Google reach $315 in November?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.470 | $4.7 | Nov 21, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.940 |
| $4.7 |
| Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?No | buy | 104.17 | $0.960 | $100 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump sue the BBC?Yes | buy | 36.95 | $0.541 | $20 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.950 | $50 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 34.59 | $0.867 | $30 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 31.09 | $0.965 | $30 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.900 | $30 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.903 | $90.3 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $6200 in August?No | buy | 107.64 | $0.929 | $100 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?No | buy | 69.44 | $0.720 | $50 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August?No | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.760 | $7.86 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 114.94 | $0.957 | $110 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek be #1 model before April?No | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Base airdrop in Q1 2025?No | buy | 52.08 | $0.960 | $50 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft buy TikTok?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 TikTok on App Store again before March?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.380 | $20 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced before April?Yes | buy | 61.22 | $0.490 | $30 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 DeepSeek removed from App Store before March?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Jan 25, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 51.71 | $0.967 | $50 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31?No | buy | 879.12 | $0.910 | $800 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| Will Ethereum hit $7,000.00 by March 31?No | buy | 345.06 | $0.869 | $300 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Ethereum all time high in 2024?No | buy | 220.21 | $0.940 | $207 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?Yes | buy | 235.29 | $0.850 | $200 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 104.06 | $0.961 | $100 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?No | buy | 50.76 | $0.985 | $50 | Dec 13, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 51.87 | $0.964 | $50 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 South Korean President impeached in 2024?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?No | buy | 36.14 | $0.830 | $30 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 160.87 | $0.920 | $148 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | sell | 31.73 | $0.967 | $30.68 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | sell | 45.46 | $0.090 | $4.09 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?Yes | sell | 110.06 | $0.999 | $109.95 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 1.09K | $0.960 | $1.05K | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 168.19 | $0.920 | $154.73 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.943 | $1.41K | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 36.72 | $0.610 | $22.4 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.560 | $20 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Monkeypox pandemic in 2024?No | sell | 22.47 | $0.950 | $21.35 | Nov 1, 2024 |