Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Afghanistan by October 31?No | buy | 4.41 | $0.997 | $4.4 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 2.36 |
| $0.965 |
| $2.28 |
| Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | sell | 2.52 | $0.985 | $2.48 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 2.23 | $0.998 | $2.23 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 2.37 | $0.980 | $2.32 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in September?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.999 | $5.8 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.970 | $2.45 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $130 in September?No | buy | 4.02 | $0.998 | $4.01 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.939 | $1.05 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | sell | 1.34 | $0.850 | $1.14 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Tether insolvent in 2025?No | sell | 3.18 | $0.970 | $3.08 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 3.93 | $0.947 | $3.72 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?No | sell | 3.92 | $0.951 | $3.73 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Tether insolvent in 2025?No | buy | 3.18 | $0.972 | $3.09 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 3.93 | $0.948 | $3.73 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?No | buy | 3.93 | $0.950 | $3.73 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.966 | $1.09 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.810 | $1.09 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will XRP dip to $1.50 in August?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.992 | $1.64 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 18–25?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.999 | $2.33 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek be #1 model before July?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.999 | $2.53 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.999 | $1.32 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.964 | $1.47 | May 15, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $2,800.00 again by March 31?No | buy | 1.83 | $0.999 | $1.83 | Mar 28, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?No | buy | 1.71 | $0.996 | $1.7 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in NYC be 56°F or higher on March 15?No | buy | 2.69 | $0.980 | $2.64 | Mar 15, 2025 |
 Duterte released from custody by Friday?No | buy | 2.43 | $0.998 | $2.43 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Will Israel withdraw from Philadelphi corridor by March 8?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.998 | $2.66 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will "Black Box Diaries" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?No | buy | 2.21 | $0.990 | $2.19 | Mar 2, 2025 |
 Dogecoin above $0.26 on February 28?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.999 | $1.38 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 2.46 | $0.999 | $2.46 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will Solana hit $300 by February 28 2025?No | buy | 4.53 | $0.989 | $4.48 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by February 28, 2025?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.993 | $1.28 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Will Hunor Kelemen win the Romanian presidential election?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.998 | $1.11 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 NATO article 5 before March?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.989 | $1.4 | Feb 5, 2025 |
 Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?Yes | sell | 4.25 | $0.930 | $3.95 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?Yes | buy | 4.25 | $0.950 | $4.04 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine join NATO before July?No | sell | 3.73 | $0.960 | $3.58 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine join NATO before July?No | buy | 3.73 | $0.970 | $3.62 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Tether insolvent in 2025?No | sell | 5.91 | $0.910 | $5.38 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Tether insolvent in 2025?No | buy | 5.91 | $0.920 | $5.44 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?No | sell | 5.45 | $0.965 | $5.26 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?No | buy | 5.46 | $0.969 | $5.29 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?No | sell | 4.1 | $0.987 | $4.05 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 4.11 | $0.988 | $4.06 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?No | sell | 6.04 | $0.935 | $5.65 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?No | buy | 6.04 | $0.943 | $5.7 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will another party win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 1.12K | $0.003 | $3.37 | Jan 18, 2025 |
| Will another party win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 1.12K | $0.004 | $4.49 | Jan 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?No | sell | 4.12 | $0.922 | $3.8 | Jan 16, 2025 |