Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 1 |
| $0.998 |
| $1 |
| Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be 91°F or higher on August 5?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on August 5?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will "The Bad Guys 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $16m and $19m?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 81°F or higher on August 3?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by July 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Will "Eddington" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $5m?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 88°F or higher on June 18?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.999 | $1.02 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire by Friday?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on June 17?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $107K on June 17 at 5 PM ET?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 280–294 times June 13–20?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be 95 or higher?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will @realDonaldTrump be suspended by Friday?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Gavin Newsom arrested by Friday?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 500 or more times June 6–13?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.996 | $1.01 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 23–30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.991 | $1.01 | May 29, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?No | buy | 1.94 | $0.993 | $1.93 | May 28, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 2–9?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Kanye crash the Met Gala?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will 'Thunderbolts' gross less than $67m on opening weekend?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | May 3, 2025 |
 Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | May 3, 2025 |
 India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump enact India travel ban in first 100 days?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.994 | $1.11 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.995 | $1.66 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 18–25?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Russia in first 100 days?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.993 | $1.1 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.996 | $1.66 | Mar 28, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.999 | $1.1 | Mar 28, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on March 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Mar 28, 2025 |
 Will 'The Chosen: Last Supper — Part 1' gross less than 4m on opening weekend?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.998 | $1.1 | Mar 28, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.990 | $1.1 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $4000 by February 28 2025?No | buy | 1.74 | $0.999 | $1.74 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump Media invest in Ethereum before March?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $3.80 by February 28 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will 'Captain America' Opening Weekend Box Office be >$100m?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.988 | $1.16 | Feb 15, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.970 | $1.11 | Feb 15, 2025 |
 Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $64-73m?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.999 | $1.16 | Feb 15, 2025 |
 Was Milei hacked?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.995 | $1.35 | Feb 15, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in January 2025?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.999 | $1.34 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.999 | $1.11 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 Evidence released proving JFK assassination was an inside job by Feb 10?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.999 | $1.16 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| 2025 January hottest on record?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.996 | $1.16 | Feb 10, 2025 |