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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.988 | $1.22 | Aug 6, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.75 |
| $0.999 |
| $1.75 |
| Jul 28, 2026 |
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | sell | 1.52 | $0.973 | $1.48 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 1.53 | $0.970 | $1.48 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.992 | $1.57 | May 21, 2026 |
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?No | sell | 1.85 | $0.973 | $1.8 | May 21, 2026 |
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?No | buy | 1.86 | $0.969 | $1.8 | May 11, 2026 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 7?No | buy | 1.86 | $0.999 | $1.86 | Apr 3, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $690b and $700b on March 31?No | buy | 1.86 | $0.989 | $1.84 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | sell | 1.9 | $0.966 | $1.84 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 1.9 | $0.966 | $1.84 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.9 | $0.973 | $1.85 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.9 | $0.968 | $1.84 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Rosie O'Donnell citizenship revoked in 2025?No | buy | 1.84 | $0.989 | $1.82 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Fed Derivative: Jan "25bps cut" over 40% on December 10?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.997 | $1.81 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Tim Keller win the 2025 Albuquerque mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.81 | $0.971 | $1.76 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.76 | $0.997 | $1.75 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31?No | sell | 1.78 | $0.983 | $1.75 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Will there be another US government shutdown by December 31?No | buy | 1.78 | $0.982 | $1.75 | Nov 21, 2025 |
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on November 13?Yes | buy | 1.76 | $0.928 | $1.63 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.63 | $0.880 | $1.43 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Alternative Bloc (PA) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.993 | $1.43 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Alternative Bloc (PA) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.998 | $1.44 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?No | buy | 4.96 | $0.999 | $4.96 | Jan 5, 2025 |
Ethereum all time high by January 31?No | buy | 7.83 | $0.907 | $7.1 | Jan 5, 2025 |
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?No | buy | 2.31 | $0.978 | $2.26 | Dec 19, 2024 |
Roaring Kitty tweets company name by Friday?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.940 | $1.31 | Dec 6, 2024 |
Will Harris win Virginia by 6+ points?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.995 | $2.1 | Dec 2, 2024 |
Will Harris win Virginia by 6+ points?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.993 | $1.5 | Nov 22, 2024 |
Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024?No | buy | 0.99 | $0.985 | $0.98 | Nov 22, 2024 |
IA-01 election: Bohannan (D) vs. Miller-Meeks (R)Miller-Meeks | buy | 2.77 | $0.987 | $2.73 | Nov 22, 2024 |
Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.985 | $1.46 | Nov 22, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.979 | $1.47 | Nov 15, 2024 |
Fed rate hike in 2024?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.988 | $1.22 | Nov 14, 2024 |
Will Republicans have 55 seats in Senate after election?Yes | buy | 20.44K | $0.001 | $20.44 | Nov 14, 2024 |
GOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.999 | $1.12 | Nov 7, 2024 |
Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 2.26 | $0.998 | $2.26 | Nov 7, 2024 |
Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.989 | $1.43 | Nov 7, 2024 |
Farcaster airdrop in 2024?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.951 | $1.56 | Nov 6, 2024 |
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.986 | $2.01 | Nov 6, 2024 |
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64No | buy | 2.46 | $0.999 | $2.46 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 18.02K | $0.001 | $18.02 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 34.05K | $0.001 | $34.05 | Nov 6, 2024 |