Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.998 | $1.52 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.42 |
| $0.999 |
| $1.42 |
| Nov 29, 2025 |
 U.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.997 | $1.18 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by November 30 2025?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.999 | $1.89 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 1.74 | $0.999 | $1.74 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $4.50 in October?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.998 | $2.69 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.997 | $2.73 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced by October 31?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.831 | $2.5 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Yemen 0 times by October 31?Yes | buy | 2.62 | $0.974 | $2.55 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | sell | 1.1 | $0.997 | $1.1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 1.67 | $0.998 | $1.67 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 5.02 | $0.991 | $4.97 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.998 | $1.67 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 2.19 | $0.991 | $2.17 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.993 | $1.1 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 2.84 | $0.991 | $2.81 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 1.77 | $0.996 | $1.76 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2025?No | sell | 1.91 | $0.993 | $1.9 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by between 40% and 45%?No | sell | 2.75 | $0.995 | $2.74 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.998 | $1.77 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by between 40% and 45%?No | buy | 2.76 | $0.998 | $2.75 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1.91 | $0.994 | $1.9 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $3.30 in September?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.990 | $1.94 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30?No | buy | 1.95 | $0.986 | $1.92 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump send the national guard to New York City?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.999 | $1.03 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31?No | buy | 1.7 | $0.992 | $1.69 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Will Apple acquire Perplexity before September?No | buy | 1.87 | $0.994 | $1.86 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before August?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.997 | $1.81 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Ace Bailey traded before August?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.997 | $1.55 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 39.59 | $0.916 | $36.27 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 50.61 | $0.780 | $39.48 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | sell | 58.43 | $0.710 | $41.49 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | sell | 42.42 | $0.992 | $42.08 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | sell | 45.65 | $0.980 | $44.74 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 58.44 | $0.730 | $42.66 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 42.42 | $0.994 | $42.17 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 50.6 | $0.780 | $39.47 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 39.6 | $0.933 | $36.93 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | buy | 45.65 | $0.978 | $44.65 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 1.73 | $0.760 | $1.31 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 1.38 | $0.970 | $1.34 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | sell | 2.37 | $0.790 | $1.87 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.800 | $1.9 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 1.74 | $0.800 | $1.39 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.972 | $1.35 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will Israel invade Iran before July?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.999 | $1.17 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 102.89 | $0.018 | $1.83 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Will Israel invade Iran before July?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.998 | $1.17 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.994 | $1.46 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will Melania Trump be deported?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.999 | $1.98 | Jun 29, 2025 |