Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 10.01 | $0.997 | $9.98 | Jun 20, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 11.13 |
| $0.998 |
| $11.11 |
| Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?No | sell | 5.85 | $0.981 | $5.74 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?No | buy | 6.91 | $0.998 | $6.9 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 19?No | sell | 4 | $0.994 | $3.98 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates in May?No | sell | 5 | $0.993 | $4.97 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $60 in May?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.993 | $1.03 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 19?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates in May?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | May 19, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 7.6 | $0.998 | $7.58 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 8.71 | $0.999 | $8.7 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-04?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.995 | $1.06 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will "Project Hail Mary" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?Yes | sell | 9.8 | $0.996 | $9.76 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.998 | $10.85 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?Yes | sell | 7.6 | $0.996 | $7.57 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?Yes | buy | 8.75 | $0.999 | $8.74 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of April 11?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.850 | $1.06 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Map Handicap: BOSS (-1.5) vs Outfit 49 (+1.5)Outfit 49 | buy | 1.08 | $0.999 | $1.08 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group ATeam Falcons | buy | 1.09 | $0.970 | $1.06 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will GOAT be the February film with the highest domestic gross on March 31?No | sell | 4.4 | $0.998 | $4.39 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will GOAT be the February film with the highest domestic gross on March 31?No | buy | 5.47 | $0.999 | $5.46 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | sell | 6.48 | $0.998 | $6.47 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 7.57 | $0.999 | $7.56 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 18?Yes | sell | 7.6 | $0.995 | $7.56 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 18?Yes | buy | 8.68 | $0.997 | $8.65 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will General Mills (GIS) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.840 | $1.04 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?No | sell | 5.25 | $0.998 | $5.24 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?No | buy | 6.32 | $0.999 | $6.31 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 6.33 | $0.997 | $6.31 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 7.42 | $0.998 | $7.41 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March meeting?No | sell | 7.44 | $0.996 | $7.41 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March meeting?No | buy | 8.52 | $0.998 | $8.5 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.998 | $1.07 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.999 | $2.13 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will 120 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?No | sell | 2.14 | $0.996 | $2.13 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will 120 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?No | buy | 3.3 | $0.997 | $3.29 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will the median home value in Chicago be between $300,000 and $305,000 by March 1?No | sell | 3.3 | $0.996 | $3.29 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in Chicago be between $300,000 and $305,000 by March 1?No | buy | 4.42 | $0.999 | $4.42 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Joel Edgerton win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?No | sell | 4.44 | $0.996 | $4.42 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Joel Edgerton win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?No | buy | 5.58 | $0.999 | $5.57 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 7 be between 60 and 70?No | sell | 5.6 | $0.994 | $5.57 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 7 be between 60 and 70?No | buy | 6.7 | $0.998 | $6.69 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Jito be accused of insider trading?No | sell | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $140 end of February?Yes | sell | 5.73 | $0.994 | $5.7 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Jito be accused of insider trading?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $140 end of February?Yes | buy | 6.8 | $0.996 | $6.77 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?No | sell | 1.22 | $0.995 | $1.21 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.997 | $1.22 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 2 above $290?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |