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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Canada tariffs on China in effect before July?Yes | sell | 85.39 | $0.013 | $1.11 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.960 |
| $96 |
| Apr 8, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.637 | $63.7 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Ethereum above $2,300 on March 7?No | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.042 | $4.2 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by next Friday?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.130 | $6.5 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump post about Sam Altman by Friday?Yes | sell | 39.47 | $0.020 | $0.79 | Jan 24, 2025 |
| Will Trump post about Sam Altman by Friday?Yes | sell | 160.5 | $0.021 | $3.37 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump sign 0 executive orders on January 21?No | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.079 | $7.9 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Yoon arrested by Friday?No | buy | 100 | $0.988 | $98.8 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?No | sell | 100 | $0.986 | $98.6 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Yoon arrested by Friday?No | sell | 50 | $0.987 | $49.35 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested before April?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.210 | $10.5 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | buy | 7 | $0.489 | $3.42 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.753 | $15.06 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?Yes | sell | 281 | $0.020 | $5.62 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 SpaceX 6th Starship launch reaches space?Yes | buy | 80.66 | $0.940 | $75.82 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Will Biden resign before inauguration?No | buy | 100 | $0.953 | $95.3 | Nov 18, 2024 |
 Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?No | buy | 100 | $0.740 | $74 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?No | buy | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 81.01 | $0.150 | $12.15 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Maduro out in 2024?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.546 | $49.14 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?No | sell | 50 | $0.975 | $48.75 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "border" 25 or more times during Michigan rally on October 25?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.600 | $12 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "border" 25 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 26?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.770 | $30.8 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Donald Trump Silver Bulletin odds >55% on Friday?No | buy | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?No | buy | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | Oct 21, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" during Pennsylvania rally on October 19?No | buy | 5 | $0.056 | $0.28 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "frack" or "fracking" 3 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 19?No | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Trans" during Pennsylvania rally on October 19?No | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during Michigan rally on October 18?No | buy | 20 | $0.470 | $9.4 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "border" 30 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 19?No | buy | 20 | $0.710 | $14.2 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during Michigan rally on October 18?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during Michigan rally on October 18?No | buy | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" 30 or more times during Michigan rally on October 18?No | buy | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Aurora" during Univision town hall?No | buy | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Border" 15 or more times during Univision town hall?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.490 | $9.8 | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" 20 or more times during Univision town hall?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" 3 or more times during Univision town hall?Yes | buy | 39.81 | $0.500 | $19.91 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Kamalanomics" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?No | buy | 20 | $0.770 | $15.4 | Oct 15, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" 20 or more times during Georgia speech on Oct 15?No | buy | 5 | $0.170 | $0.85 | Oct 15, 2024 |
 Will Trump launch a coin before the election?No | sell | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Oct 15, 2024 |
| Will Trump launch a coin before the election?No | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during Colorado rally on October 11?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Oct 11, 2024 |