Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No | buy | 7.24 | $0.935 | $6.77 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 6.94 |
| $0.971 |
| $6.74 |
| Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?No | sell | 4.13 | $0.998 | $4.12 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | sell | 5.58 | $0.983 | $5.49 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No | sell | 5.68 | $0.610 | $3.46 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?No | sell | 7.37 | $0.992 | $7.31 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No | sell | 7.37 | $0.611 | $4.5 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | sell | 7.71 | $0.999 | $7.7 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?No | sell | 7.77 | $0.989 | $7.68 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | sell | 8.19 | $0.999 | $8.18 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 8.91 | $0.800 | $7.13 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?No | sell | 7.33 | $0.976 | $7.15 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?No | buy | 7.33 | $0.973 | $7.13 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?No | sell | 5.61 | $0.974 | $5.46 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No | buy | 7.37 | $0.966 | $7.12 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 30-April 5?No | sell | 7.21 | $0.978 | $7.05 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?No | buy | 7.72 | $0.910 | $7.03 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?No | sell | 7.64 | $0.974 | $7.44 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?No | buy | 7.34 | $0.960 | $7.05 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No | sell | 5.97 | $0.972 | $5.8 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.960 | $7.06 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 30-April 5?No | sell | 7.24 | $0.973 | $7.04 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 30-April 5?No | sell | 5.81 | $0.973 | $5.65 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | buy | 8.2 | $0.860 | $7.05 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,400 March 30-April 5?No | sell | 7.21 | $0.978 | $7.05 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 March 30-April 5?No | buy | 7.2 | $0.975 | $7.02 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | sell | 6.32 | $0.979 | $6.19 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 30-April 5?No | buy | 7.22 | $0.972 | $7.02 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 30-April 5?No | sell | 7.22 | $0.979 | $7.07 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 30-April 5?No | buy | 7.2 | $0.957 | $6.89 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 7.11 | $0.980 | $6.97 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.11 | $0.975 | $6.93 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 30-April 5?No | sell | 7.13 | $0.971 | $6.92 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?No | buy | 6.19 | $0.860 | $5.32 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No | buy | 5.98 | $0.890 | $5.32 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 30-April 5?No | buy | 5.78 | $0.910 | $5.26 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?No | buy | 5.61 | $0.950 | $5.33 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 30-April 5?No | sell | 7.22 | $0.975 | $7.04 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 6.51 | $0.820 | $5.34 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.940 | $5.34 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by April 30?No | buy | 7.72 | $0.900 | $6.95 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 30-April 5?No | buy | 7.2 | $0.960 | $6.91 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 30-April 5?No | buy | 7.12 | $0.974 | $6.93 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?No | buy | 7.65 | $0.910 | $6.96 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 7.14 | $0.975 | $6.96 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | buy | 7.71 | $0.900 | $6.94 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 8.46 | $0.820 | $6.94 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.973 | $6.95 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 30-April 5?No | buy | 7.2 | $0.959 | $6.91 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 8.07 | $0.976 | $7.88 | Mar 31, 2026 |