Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 455 | $0.282 | $128.28 | Jan 10, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 355 |
| $0.280 |
| $99.4 |
| Jan 8, 2026 |
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.280 | $28 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 176.43 | $0.215 | $37.96 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 40.53 | $0.142 | $5.75 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 1.38K | $0.007 | $9.67 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.019 | $10 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 604.72 | $0.017 | $10 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 135.9 | $0.125 | $17 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Communist" during the America Business Forum on November 5?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Communist" during the America Business Forum on November 5?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 507.78 | $0.938 | $476.3 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Trump releases JFK files by Tuesday?Yes | buy | 56.69 | $0.947 | $53.69 | Mar 18, 2025 |
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | sell | 45.26 | $0.385 | $17.43 | Mar 14, 2025 |
Will Trump say 'Ukraine' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.978 | $29.34 | Mar 5, 2025 |
Will Trump say 'mineral' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | sell | 16.79 | $0.999 | $16.77 | Mar 5, 2025 |
Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | Mar 5, 2025 |
Will Trump say 'tariff' 5+ times times during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Mar 5, 2025 |
Will Trump say 'Zelenskyy' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.338 | $3.38 | Mar 5, 2025 |
Will Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | Mar 4, 2025 |
Will Trump say 'Ukraine' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.950 | $28.5 | Mar 4, 2025 |
Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.730 | $14.6 | Mar 4, 2025 |
Will Trump say 'mineral' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 1.81 | $0.830 | $1.5 | Mar 4, 2025 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 240 | $0.380 | $91.2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.381 | $3.81 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Tim Walz say "Weird "or "Weirdo" during the debate?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | Oct 2, 2024 |
Will Tim Walz say "Weird "or "Weirdo" during the debate?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.500 | $12.5 | Oct 2, 2024 |
Will Tim Walz say "Weird "or "Weirdo" during the debate?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.500 | $12.5 | Oct 2, 2024 |
Will Tim Walz say "Weird "or "Weirdo" during the debate?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Oct 2, 2024 |
Will Tim Walz say "Weird "or "Weirdo" during the debate?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.490 | $12.25 | Oct 2, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris say "black" 3 or more times during Oprah livestream?Yes | sell | 77 | $0.600 | $46.2 | Sep 20, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris say "black" 3 or more times during Oprah livestream?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.820 | $5.74 | Sep 19, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump say "Israel" during his Uniondale rally?No | sell | 30 | $0.310 | $9.3 | Sep 18, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump say "Taylor Swift" during his Uniondale rally?No | buy | 33 | $0.950 | $31.35 | Sep 18, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump say "Taylor Swift" during his Uniondale rally?No | buy | 9.77 | $0.950 | $9.28 | Sep 18, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump say "golf" during his Uniondale rally?Yes | sell | 69.99 | $0.120 | $8.4 | Sep 18, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump say "tampon" during his Michigan town hall?No | buy | 86.18 | $0.580 | $49.98 | Sep 17, 2024 |
Will Trump say "dog" during his Arizona rally?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.160 | $4.8 | Sep 12, 2024 |
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Arizona rally?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Sep 12, 2024 |
Will Trump say "China" 5 or more times during his Arizona rally?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.310 | $9.3 | Sep 12, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Abdul" during his Arizona rally?Yes | sell | 111.46 | $0.080 | $8.92 | Sep 12, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Springfield" during his Arizona rally?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.990 | $49.5 | Sep 12, 2024 |
Will Trump say "moderator" during his Arizona rally?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.200 | $6.6 | Sep 12, 2024 |
Will Trump say "China" 5 or more times during his Arizona rally?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.880 | $26.4 | Sep 12, 2024 |
Who will speak more at the debate?Trump | sell | 199.99 | $0.996 | $199.2 | Sep 11, 2024 |
Will Trump say "border czar" at debate?Yes | sell | 126.5 | $0.990 | $125.24 | Sep 11, 2024 |
Will Kamala say "Project 2025" at debate?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.990 | $118.8 | Sep 11, 2024 |
Will Kamala say "Artificial Intelligence" at debate?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.390 | $7.8 | Sep 10, 2024 |
Will Kamala say "Project 2025" at debate?Yes | buy | 87 | $0.870 | $75.69 | Sep 10, 2024 |