Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 796.44 | $0.180 | $143.36 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 286.4 |
| $0.615 |
| $176 |
| Mar 29, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 286.41 | $0.589 | $168.68 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 443.9 | $0.380 | $168.68 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 443.9 | $0.420 | $186.44 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | sell | 352.84 | $0.528 | $186.45 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 69.38 | $0.579 | $40.17 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 2.11K | $0.019 | $40.14 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 1.06K | $0.055 | $57.92 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 40 | $0.053 | $2.12 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | sell | 94.48 | $0.636 | $60.04 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.030 | $30.32 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 377.95 | $0.575 | $217.32 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 19.26K | $0.011 | $213.96 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | sell | 20 | $0.660 | $13.2 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 300 | $0.030 | $8.97 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 100 | $0.077 | $7.67 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.340 | $10.2 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Scam" or "Hoax" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.680 | $17 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.430 | $8.6 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 245 | $0.027 | $6.57 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 50 | $0.160 | $8 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 8.65K | $0.012 | $103.86 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 27.92K | $0.013 | $362.94 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 102.77 | $0.194 | $19.89 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will Jimmy Kimmel apologize by Friday?No | sell | 20.55 | $0.968 | $19.89 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Will Jimmy Kimmel apologize by Friday?No | buy | 20.55 | $0.650 | $13.36 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?Yes | sell | 143 | $0.092 | $13.22 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?Yes | buy | 90.23 | $0.080 | $7.21 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Rosas Jr. vs. MoralesRosas Jr. | buy | 7.21 | $0.810 | $5.84 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Rodriguez vs. CostaRodriguez | buy | 13.04 | $0.230 | $3 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Rodriguez vs. CostaRodriguez | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Mar 29, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 27.3 | $0.690 | $18.84 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 27.3 | $0.530 | $14.47 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 Will Shane Gillis say "retarded" on Saturday Night Live?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.170 | $8.5 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 28.72 | $0.800 | $22.98 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 10.07 | $0.630 | $6.34 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Schnell vs. DurdenSchnell | buy | 100 | $0.280 | $28 | Sep 7, 2024 |
 1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?Yes | sell | 220 | $0.370 | $81.4 | Sep 7, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.483 | $96.6 | Aug 18, 2024 |
 Will Trump and Harris debate before election?No | sell | 749.99 | $0.043 | $32.25 | Aug 18, 2024 |
| Du Plessis vs. AdesanyaDu Plessis | sell | 75 | $0.990 | $74.25 | Aug 18, 2024 |
| Tuivasa vs. RozenstruikRozenstruik | sell | 27 | $0.990 | $26.73 | Aug 18, 2024 |
| Jingliang vs. PratesPrates | sell | 19 | $0.990 | $18.81 | Aug 18, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | Aug 17, 2024 |
| 1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?Yes | buy | 220 | $0.290 | $63.8 | Aug 10, 2024 |
 Will Biden speak at the DNC?No | sell | 150 | $0.070 | $10.5 | Aug 3, 2024 |