Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 1.25K | $0.201 | $81.02 | -$168.98 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 242.13 | $0.413 | $100 | Jul 19, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 257.73 |
| $0.097 |
| $47.94 |
| +$22.94 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 359.82 | $0.139 | $31.48 | -$18.52 |
| buy |
| 359.82 |
| $0.139 |
| $50 |
| Jul 12, 2026 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?No | buy | 263.06 | $0.380 | $100 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 119.05 | $0.420 | $50 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 458.72 | $0.218 | $100 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.190 | $100 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 526.31 | $0.965 | $507.89 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 56.81 | $0.999 | $56.75 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.100 | $25 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 912.33 | $0.027 | $25 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 1.26K | $0.020 | $25 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 173.91 | $0.230 | $40 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 906.9 | $0.066 | $60 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 644.5 | $0.078 | $50 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 693.29 | $0.072 | $50 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 630.32 | $0.079 | $50 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.270 | $50 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.270 | $50 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 46.29 | $0.510 | $23.61 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 55.13 | $0.211 | $11.62 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 56.82 | $0.440 | $25 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.190 | $50 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 952.38 | $0.210 | $200 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 55.14 | $0.363 | $20 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $620b on January 31?Yes | buy | 63.39 | $0.316 | $20 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Indonesia recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | buy | 201.67 | $0.099 | $20 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?Yes | buy | 53.63 | $0.373 | $20 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 257.73 | $0.097 | $25 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 46.3 | $0.540 | $25 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.170 | $50 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.190 | $50 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.400 | $50 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before August?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?Yes | buy | 265.26 | $0.188 | $50 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 570.22 | $0.018 | $10 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Trump x Xi Jinping talk before August?Yes | buy | 196.15 | $0.255 | $50 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?Yes | buy | 156.03 | $0.320 | $50 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by July 15?Yes | buy | 102.9 | $0.486 | $50 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 551.33 | $0.073 | $40 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?Yes | buy | 220.96 | $0.226 | $50 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.460 | $50 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?Yes | buy | 339.19 | $0.147 | $50 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.140 | $50 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.140 | $50 | Jun 24, 2025 |