Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump rename Greenland 'Red, White, and Blueland' before July?No | sell | 3.49 | $0.992 | $3.46 | Jun 5, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 3.49 |
| $0.993 |
| $3.47 |
| May 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be less than 43.0% on May 16?No | buy | 2.96 | $0.997 | $2.95 | May 13, 2025 |
 Trump EO implementing “most favored nation” drug pricing by next Friday?Yes | buy | 7.57 | $0.994 | $7.52 | May 12, 2025 |
 Another India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?Yes | buy | 3.63 | $0.995 | $3.61 | May 9, 2025 |
 Ukraine lowers conscription age before May 9?No | buy | 3.3 | $0.996 | $3.29 | May 8, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced before May?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.999 | $1.75 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be banned again before May?No | buy | 4.21 | $0.996 | $4.19 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in his first 100 days?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.999 | $2.67 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies UFO files in first 100 days?No | buy | 5.22 | $0.998 | $5.21 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Trump announces the US is giving up NATO command before May?No | buy | 4.27 | $0.999 | $4.27 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump eliminate daylight saving time in first 100 days?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by Friday?No | buy | 3.53 | $0.989 | $3.49 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will courts block Trump's tariffs by Friday?No | buy | 6.28 | $0.999 | $6.27 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 2025 March hottest on record?No | buy | 3.61 | $0.998 | $3.6 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will egg prices drop this week?Yes | buy | 8.11 | $0.999 | $8.1 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?No | buy | 4.9 | $0.991 | $4.86 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before April?No | buy | 6.36 | $0.998 | $6.35 | Mar 22, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?No | buy | 5.22 | $0.996 | $5.2 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 Fact Check: Did the U.S. hit Iranian spy ship?No | buy | 3.74 | $0.989 | $3.7 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 Will Hamas enter Israel by Friday?No | buy | 4.22 | $0.993 | $4.19 | Mar 19, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?No | buy | 2.68 | $0.994 | $2.66 | Mar 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue an executive order on March 13?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.998 | $1.1 | Mar 14, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump sign 10-14 executive orders in March?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.995 | $5.98 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine take responsibility for X attack by Friday?No | buy | 3.67 | $0.999 | $3.67 | Mar 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump reduce tariffs on Mexico or Canada today?No | buy | 3.8 | $0.990 | $3.76 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Friday?No | buy | 2.19 | $0.990 | $2.17 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on March 5?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.996 | $1.28 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will the SPD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.998 | $1.1 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?No | buy | 2.39 | $0.997 | $2.38 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.996 | $1.12 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy puts on a suit by Friday?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.990 | $1.2 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Will Israel withdraw from Philadelphi corridor by March 8?No | buy | 4.92 | $0.998 | $4.91 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?No | buy | 6.15 | $0.998 | $6.14 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Trump admin announces cutting Ukraine aid by Friday?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.996 | $1.1 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Trump negative approval before March?No | buy | 4.71 | $0.999 | $4.71 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 DeepSeek removed from App Store before March?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.989 | $6.69 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?No | buy | 3.04 | $0.980 | $2.98 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?Yes | sell | 985.98 | $0.998 | $984.01 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?Yes | buy | 985.99 | $0.999 | $985 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 19?Yes | buy | 3.58 | $0.990 | $3.54 | Feb 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 18?Yes | buy | 8.02 | $0.985 | $7.9 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 11-17?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.985 | $2.17 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 16?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.999 | $1.2 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Will the House pass a budget resolution by Friday?No | buy | 9.5 | $0.999 | $9.49 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 AfD banned before German election?No | buy | 4.82 | $0.996 | $4.8 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by next Friday?No | buy | 5.22 | $0.993 | $5.18 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 North Korea missile test by February 14?No | buy | 4.96 | $0.996 | $4.94 | Feb 13, 2025 |