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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 114.92 | $0.860 | $98.83 | Jul 25, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 0.11 |
| $0.140 |
| $0.02 |
| Jul 25, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.930 | $0.1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.11 | $0.002 | $0 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?No | sell | 0.12 | $0.670 | $0.08 | Jul 25, 2026 |
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?No | sell | 0.13 | $0.870 | $0.11 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.307 | $0.04 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.13 | $0.700 | $0.09 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | sell | 0.14 | $0.450 | $0.06 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?No | sell | 0.15 | $0.989 | $0.15 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 10–15%?No | sell | 0.15 | $0.002 | $0 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.16 | $0.187 | $0.03 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 0.17 | $0.003 | $0 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?No | sell | 0.17 | $0.716 | $0.12 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | sell | 0.18 | $0.550 | $0.1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 0.18 | $0.215 | $0.04 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | sell | 0.18 | $0.370 | $0.07 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | sell | 0.19 | $0.008 | $0 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.19 | $0.880 | $0.17 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?No | sell | 0.19 | $0.820 | $0.16 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?No | sell | 0.2 | $0.976 | $0.2 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.21 | $0.190 | $0.04 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No | sell | 0.22 | $0.990 | $0.22 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.22 | $0.242 | $0.05 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 0.22 | $0.001 | $0 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | sell | 0.22 | $0.410 | $0.09 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?No | sell | 0.23 | $0.964 | $0.22 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No | sell | 0.23 | $0.450 | $0.1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?No | sell | 0.23 | $0.959 | $0.22 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No | sell | 0.25 | $0.929 | $0.23 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes | sell | 0.26 | $0.002 | $0 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | sell | 0.26 | $0.004 | $0 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 0.28 | $0.007 | $0 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.26 | $0.320 | $0.08 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No | sell | 0.27 | $0.868 | $0.23 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 0.28 | $0.741 | $0.21 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?Yes | sell | 0.29 | $0.058 | $0.02 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 0.29 | $0.640 | $0.19 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Kash Patel out by December 31?No | sell | 0.3 | $0.680 | $0.2 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?No | sell | 0.3 | $0.004 | $0 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | sell | 0.31 | $0.100 | $0.03 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 0.31 | $0.030 | $0.01 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No | sell | 0.31 | $0.790 | $0.24 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?Yes | sell | 0.32 | $0.023 | $0.01 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Nico Schlotterbeck stay at Borussia Dortmund?No | sell | 0.34 | $0.027 | $0.01 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?No | sell | 0.35 | $0.800 | $0.28 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by July 31?Yes | sell | 0.36 | $0.002 | $0 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 0.38 | $0.984 | $0.37 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.39 | $0.085 | $0.03 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?No | sell | 0.39 | $0.999 | $0.39 | Jul 25, 2026 |