Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 2K | $0.950 | $1.89K | -$10 |
 Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 220 | $0.084 | $18.5 | 14d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.89K |
| $0.950 |
| $1.85K |
| +$50.08 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.86K | $0.744 | $1.59K | +$206.42 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 900 | $0.890 | $832.5 | +$31.5 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 582.15 | $0.850 | $515.2 | +$20.38 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | Yes | 150 | $0.170 | $11.25 | -$14.25 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | Yes | 199.98 | $0.140 | $10 | -$18 |
| buy |
| 150 |
| $0.510 |
| $76.5 |
| Aug 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes | sell | 149.99 | $0.090 | $13.5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.390 | $3.12 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.010 | $3 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 580.02 | $0.914 | $530 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 2K | $0.950 | $1.9K | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Yes | sell | 95.14 | $0.120 | $11.42 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?No | buy | 1.89K | $0.950 | $1.8K | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Yes | buy | 190.29 | $0.210 | $40 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 909.09 | $0.880 | $800 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.2K | $0.951 | $2.09K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.2K | $0.807 | $966.8 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.835 | $1K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 240.71 | $0.831 | $200 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 147.59 | $0.678 | $100 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 400.7 | $0.499 | $200 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | buy | 279.27 | $0.716 | $200 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | buy | 300.02 | $0.360 | $108.01 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 750.57 | $0.160 | $120.09 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 619.04 | $0.991 | $613.67 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 86.73 | $0.006 | $0.51 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.372 | $186.14 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No | sell | 100 | $0.213 | $21.3 | May 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.320 | $100 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.24 | $0.030 | $0.4 | May 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 855.92 | $0.100 | $85.59 | May 16, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.300 | $150 | May 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 103.45 | $0.290 | $30 | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.440 | $50 | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 225 | $0.430 | $96.75 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 527.3 | $0.330 | $174.01 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 149.25 | $0.670 | $100 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 250.82 | $0.290 | $72.74 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.360 | $100 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.360 | $100 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.022 | $8.8 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 527.3 | $0.379 | $200 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 146.34 | $0.410 | $60 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 303.03 | $0.330 | $100 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.2K | $0.245 | $293.74 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.17K | $0.150 | $175 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.150 | $100 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?Yes | sell | 107.75 | $0.044 | $4.74 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 157.24 | $0.490 | $77.05 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.2 | $0.200 | $1.24 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 83.33 | $0.880 | $73.33 | Apr 21, 2026 |