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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.959 | $1.01 | Feb 10, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 1.24 |
| $0.710 |
| $0.88 |
| Feb 10, 2026 |
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?Yes | sell | 1.94 | $0.001 | $0 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 48.46K | $0.001 | $48.46 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 5.38K | $0.001 | $5.38 | Feb 10, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.430 | $0.86 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 632.92 | $0.965 | $610.77 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?No | sell | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will anyone be kicked out of Trump's State of the Union address?No | sell | 7.41 | $0.610 | $4.52 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Migrant Crime" in February?No | sell | 10.92 | $0.730 | $7.97 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 197.99 | $0.530 | $104.93 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Shelton" this week? (February 15)No | sell | 10.52 | $0.907 | $9.54 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Trump say "XRP" this week? (February 15)No | sell | 10.86 | $0.940 | $10.21 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Migrant Crime" in February?No | sell | 9 | $0.760 | $6.84 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?Yes | sell | 23.23 | $0.274 | $6.36 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.778 | $19.44 | Feb 10, 2026 |
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?No | sell | 50.87 | $0.120 | $6.1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?No | sell | 20 | $0.600 | $12 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 66.47 | $0.011 | $0.73 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?Yes | sell | 68.92 | $0.420 | $28.95 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?Yes | sell | 73.77 | $0.113 | $8.32 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?No | sell | 85.88 | $0.359 | $30.87 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?Yes | sell | 98.24 | $0.183 | $17.98 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 40.01 | $0.159 | $6.36 | Feb 10, 2026 |
French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28?Yes | sell | 121.78 | $0.140 | $17.05 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Yes | sell | 143.57 | $0.320 | $45.94 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | sell | 228.32 | $0.138 | $31.51 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Yes | sell | 223.07 | $0.053 | $11.92 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 230 | $0.006 | $1.38 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Government shutdown on Saturday?No | sell | 388.85 | $0.270 | $104.99 | Feb 10, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 514.79 | $0.400 | $205.92 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 754 | $0.009 | $6.79 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 718.9 | $0.160 | $115.02 | Feb 10, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 771.8 | $0.040 | $30.87 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 948.67 | $0.006 | $5.33 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 1.83K | $0.002 | $3.66 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5.26K | $0.080 | $420.85 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes | sell | 9K | $0.001 | $9 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 4.74K | $0.003 | $14.21 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 14.15K | $0.009 | $127.31 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 369.33 | $0.515 | $190.26 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Pistons vs. HornetsPistons | sell | 2 | $0.570 | $1.14 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Pistons vs. HornetsPistons | sell | 1 | $0.570 | $0.57 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Pistons vs. HornetsPistons | buy | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Pistons vs. HornetsPistons | buy | 2 | $0.590 | $1.18 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.002 | $0.05 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 59.6 | $0.025 | $1.49 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |