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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 7.53 | $0.996 | $7.5 | -$0 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 7.53 | $0.996 | $7.5 | 2d ago |
|
| No |
| 28 |
| $0.120 |
| $3.5 |
| +$0.14 |
| buy |
| 28 |
| $0.120 |
| $3.36 |
| 2d ago |
 Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 3–4%?No | buy | 10.91 | $0.999 | $10.9 | 27d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in August?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | 27d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No | buy | 12.01 | $0.999 | $12 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 520 | $0.002 | $1.04 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8?No | buy | 56.06 | $0.999 | $56 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No | buy | 55.96 | $0.999 | $55.9 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?No | buy | 55.96 | $0.999 | $55.9 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No | buy | 55.86 | $0.999 | $55.8 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?No | buy | 55.86 | $0.999 | $55.8 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No | buy | 55.76 | $0.999 | $55.7 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No | buy | 55.76 | $0.999 | $55.7 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No | buy | 55.71 | $0.999 | $55.65 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?No | buy | 55.66 | $0.999 | $55.6 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17?No | buy | 55.61 | $0.999 | $55.55 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.999 | $55.5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?No | buy | 55.5 | $0.999 | $55.44 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends on March 27, 2026?No | buy | 55.46 | $0.999 | $55.4 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 20, 2026?No | buy | 55.4 | $0.999 | $55.34 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?No | buy | 55.35 | $0.999 | $55.29 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?No | buy | 55.29 | $0.999 | $55.23 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 2?No | buy | 55.24 | $0.999 | $55.18 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 55.18 | $0.999 | $55.12 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?No | buy | 55.13 | $0.999 | $55.07 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No | buy | 55.07 | $0.999 | $55.01 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 454.55 | $0.044 | $20 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 10?Yes | buy | 75.02 | $0.999 | $74.94 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?No | buy | 24.88 | $0.999 | $24.86 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 5?No | buy | 50.05 | $0.999 | $50 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026?No | buy | 74.86 | $0.999 | $74.79 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 22?No | buy | 74.07 | $0.999 | $74 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on December 15?No | buy | 74.71 | $0.999 | $74.64 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on December 6?No | buy | 74.63 | $0.999 | $74.56 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 30?Yes | buy | 70.55 | $0.999 | $70.48 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will the price of Solana be above $170 on November 25?No | buy | 70.48 | $0.999 | $70.41 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 19?No | buy | 70.41 | $0.999 | $70.34 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No | buy | 25.03 | $0.999 | $25 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No | buy | 26.05 | $0.998 | $26 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No | buy | 28.25 | $0.991 | $28 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?No | buy | 28.06 | $0.998 | $28 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by October 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?No | buy | 27.16 | $0.994 | $27 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 24?No | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the second most valuable company on October 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |