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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 4.23 |
| $0.710 |
| $3 |
| Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01? AND Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? | buy | 6.43 | $0.771 | $4.96 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in June?No | sell | 6.74 | $0.870 | $5.86 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.25 | $0.910 | $12.06 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?No | sell | 15.56 | $0.960 | $14.94 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 18.27 | $0.920 | $16.81 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes | sell | 21.27 | $0.850 | $18.08 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 568.67 | $0.928 | $527.73 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 3.41K | $0.988 | $3.37K | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 15?No | buy | 15.37 | $0.976 | $15 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1K | $0.990 | $990 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 1K | $0.980 | $980 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 770.08 | $0.936 | $720.79 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.050 | $300 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 4.1K | $0.837 | $3.44K | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on June 11?No | buy | 27.34 | $0.951 | $26 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 11?No | buy | 31.26 | $0.960 | $30 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 2.3K | $0.987 | $2.27K | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 3.63K | $0.936 | $3.4K | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?No | buy | 10.11 | $0.989 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 5.5K | $0.891 | $4.9K | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 18.28 | $0.930 | $17 | Jun 10, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.77 | $0.940 | $12 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 2.67K | $0.850 | $2.27K | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.850 | $2.55K | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 10?No | buy | 17.2 | $0.930 | $16 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.860 | $903 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.3K | $0.949 | $1.23K | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 10?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 10?No | buy | 15.53 | $0.966 | $15 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 4.89K | $0.923 | $4.51K | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 10?No | buy | 31.15 | $0.963 | $30 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?No | buy | 15.57 | $0.963 | $15 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in June?No | buy | 6.74 | $0.890 | $6 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.25 | $0.830 | $11 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?No | buy | 15.79 | $0.950 | $15 | Jun 9, 2026 |
ITF Deauville: Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi vs Raphael PerotRaphael Perot | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | May 21, 2026 |
Cervia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Juan MartinMax Alcala Gurri | buy | 12.9 | $0.930 | $12 | May 21, 2026 |
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper RuudCasper Ruud | buy | 10.11 | $0.890 | $9 | May 21, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 13.07 | $0.918 | $12 | May 21, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 22?No | buy | 12.16 | $0.987 | $12 | May 21, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.89 | $0.944 | $15 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 10.04 | $0.996 | $10 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on May 1?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.996 | $12 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on April 30?No | buy | 10.07 | $0.993 | $10 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on April 30?No | buy | 16.06 | $0.996 | $16 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.05 | $0.992 | $6 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell EditionYes | buy | 8.04 | $0.995 | $8 | Mar 24, 2026 |