Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 3.99K | $0.158 | $538.88 | -$91.11 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.3K | $0.070 | $91.13 | 2d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 3.33 |
| $0.300 |
| $0.95 |
| -$0.05 |
| buy |
| 3.33 |
| $0.300 |
| $1 |
| 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 230.77 | $0.130 | $30 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 588.53 | $0.170 | $100 | 4d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 117.66 | $0.830 | $97.66 | 4d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 117.66 | $0.850 | $100 | 4d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 666.67 | $0.150 | $100 | 7d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 736.01 | $0.136 | $100 | 7d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 526.32 | $0.190 | $100 | 8d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 565.89 | $0.124 | $70 | 8d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | 8d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 574.83 | $0.139 | $80 | 8d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 154.61 | $0.129 | $20 | 8d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.160 | $200 | 9d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 4K | $0.001 | $4 | 11d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.85K | $0.027 | $50 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.005 | $2 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.070 | $50 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 52.63 | $0.949 | $49.97 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.950 | $50 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.150 | $100 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.130 | $100 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 787.9 | $0.314 | $247.19 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | sell | 133.33 | $0.028 | $3.73 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.075 | $10 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 232.35 | $0.215 | $50 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.270 | $150 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | sell | 2.74K | $0.064 | $176.39 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | buy | 868.93 | $0.058 | $50 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | buy | 910.78 | $0.055 | $50 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | buy | 957.7 | $0.052 | $50 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 112.46 | $0.240 | $26.99 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 13.51 | $0.999 | $13.5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 8.87K | $0.016 | $141.9 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.82K | $0.011 | $20 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.54K | $0.013 | $20 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.012 | $30 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.018 | $6 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 2.36K | $0.021 | $50 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.022 | $5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No | sell | 139.26 | $0.970 | $135.08 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No | buy | 26.14 | $0.880 | $23 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 112.47 | $0.178 | $20 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?No | sell | 165.4 | $0.217 | $35.97 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?No | buy | 91.4 | $0.438 | $40 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?No | buy | 74 | $0.676 | $50 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No | buy | 113.13 | $0.884 | $100 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 15.15 | $0.995 | $15.07 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.035 | $3.19 | Jul 10, 2026 |