Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.51 | $0.855 | $3.23 | +$0.23 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.570 | $1.5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 3.23 |
| $0.930 |
| $2.98 |
| -$0.02 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 2.34 | $0.640 | $2 | +$0.5 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 1.83 | $0.820 | $1.71 | +$0.21 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 1.72 | $0.870 | $1.64 | +$0.14 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 2.63 | $0.570 | $0.61 | -$0.89 |
| sell |
| 5.89 |
| $0.512 |
| $3.01 |
| Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.930 | $1.5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Yes | sell | 6.52 | $0.230 | $1.5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.930 | $1.5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.83 | $0.530 | $1.5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Yes | buy | 6.52 | $0.230 | $1.5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.490 | $1.5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Yes | sell | 20.71 | $0.210 | $4.35 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.140 | $1.5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Croatia Open: Alex Molcan vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaAlejandro Davidovich Fokina | buy | 2.46 | $0.610 | $1.5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Croatia Open: Alex Molcan vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaAlejandro Davidovich Fokina | buy | 2.46 | $0.610 | $1.5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.120 | $0.75 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | sell | 4.99 | $0.740 | $3.69 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Israeli forces enter Choukine by July 31?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.950 | $1.5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group StagePARIVISION | buy | 2.46 | $0.610 | $1.5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.999 | $1.5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Kurds declare independence from Iran?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.999 | $1.5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.950 | $1.5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.950 | $1.5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.54 | $0.915 | $2.32 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No | sell | 2.23 | $0.590 | $1.32 | May 25, 2026 |
| Roland Garros ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Pierre-Hugues HerbertPierre-Hugues Herbert | buy | 2.83 | $0.530 | $1.5 | May 24, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No | buy | 2.24 | $0.670 | $1.5 | May 24, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.6 | $0.490 | $2.74 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.540 | $1.5 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.83 | $0.530 | $1.5 | May 24, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.15 | $0.862 | $2.72 | May 24, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 21.42 | $0.040 | $0.86 | May 18, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.070 | $1.5 | May 18, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.050 | $1.25 | May 18, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.060 | $1.5 | May 18, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.050 | $1.25 | May 18, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.060 | $1.5 | May 18, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.050 | $1.25 | May 18, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.060 | $1.5 | May 18, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.050 | $1.25 | May 18, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.060 | $1.5 | May 18, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.050 | $2.5 | May 18, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.060 | $1.5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 2.02 | $0.860 | $1.74 | May 18, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.060 | $1.5 | May 18, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.050 | $1.25 | May 18, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.060 | $1.5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta PlayoffsNatus Vincere | buy | 1.81 | $0.830 | $1.5 | May 17, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?No | sell | 1.87 | $0.930 | $1.74 | May 17, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.660 | $1.5 | May 16, 2026 |
 US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.970 | $1.5 | May 2, 2026 |