Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 12.52 | $0.660 | $11.45 | +$3.19 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.527 | $2.75 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 5.21 |
| $0.527 |
| $4.46 |
| +$1.71 |
 Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? | No | 4.29 | $0.976 | $4.25 | +$0.06 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | Yes | 13.35 | $0.370 | $2.34 | -$2.6 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 5.83 | $0.350 | $2.07 | +$0.03 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | No | 17.78 | $0.450 | $1.69 | -$6.31 |
| sell |
| 2.97 |
| $0.940 |
| $2.79 |
| Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Yes | sell | 0.13 | $0.920 | $0.12 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.11 | $0.740 | $2.3 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | sell | 0.71 | $0.670 | $0.48 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | sell | 0.19 | $0.660 | $0.13 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | sell | 1.91 | $0.660 | $1.26 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | sell | 0.94 | $0.600 | $0.56 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?No | buy | 10.16 | $0.310 | $3.15 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | sell | 0.21 | $0.600 | $0.13 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | sell | 0.98 | $0.600 | $0.59 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | sell | 0.21 | $0.600 | $0.13 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | sell | 0.21 | $0.600 | $0.13 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | sell | 2.81 | $0.600 | $1.69 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | sell | 0.38 | $0.600 | $0.23 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.592 | $1.5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | sell | 1.75 | $0.600 | $1.05 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | sell | 0.37 | $0.600 | $0.22 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | sell | 0.59 | $0.600 | $0.35 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | sell | 0.2 | $0.600 | $0.12 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | sell | 0.2 | $0.600 | $0.12 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.57 | $0.194 | $1.08 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | sell | 0.44 | $0.600 | $0.26 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | sell | 0.32 | $0.600 | $0.19 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | sell | 0.2 | $0.600 | $0.12 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 0.71 | $0.800 | $0.57 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.800 | $0.87 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No | buy | 9.81 | $0.480 | $4.71 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?No | buy | 5.7 | $0.300 | $1.71 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 1.27 | $0.810 | $1.03 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 0.6 | $0.820 | $0.49 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.820 | $0.93 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 1 | $0.810 | $0.81 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 3.73 | $0.830 | $3.1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes | sell | 0.48 | $0.770 | $0.37 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.490 | $1.24 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.78 | $0.370 | $1.4 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes | sell | 0.63 | $0.700 | $0.44 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 1.47 | $0.270 | $0.4 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 6.76 | $0.270 | $1.83 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 0.53 | $0.270 | $0.14 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No | buy | 2.62 | $0.550 | $1.44 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 4.11 | $0.370 | $1.52 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes | buy | 3.21 | $0.720 | $2.31 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes | sell | 13.51 | $0.180 | $2.43 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No | buy | 3.53 | $0.635 | $2.24 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 2.75 | $0.700 | $1.92 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | buy | 2.81 | $0.520 | $1.46 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 6.38 | $0.320 | $2.04 | Jun 16, 2026 |