Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.986 | $1.26 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.46 |
| $0.994 |
| $2.45 |
| Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.978 | $1.14 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 2.12 | $0.989 | $2.1 | May 28, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4AM ETDown | buy | 61 | $0.998 | $60.88 | May 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.996 | $4.98 | May 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.995 | $4.98 | May 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.994 | $4.97 | May 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4AM ETDown | buy | 200 | $0.990 | $198 | May 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4AM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.990 | $99 | May 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4AM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.980 | $98 | May 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3AM ETUp | buy | 200 | $0.990 | $198 | May 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.990 | $99 | May 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.990 | $99 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 8.87K | $0.997 | $8.85K | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 670 | $0.998 | $668.66 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.2K | $0.998 | $8.18K | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?No | sell | 572.07 | $0.999 | $571.5 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?No | sell | 7.46K | $0.999 | $7.45K | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?No | buy | 7.46K | $0.999 | $7.45K | May 28, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be 77°F or below on May 1?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.998 | $1.14 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.997 | $2.1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 4.61 | $0.997 | $4.6 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 1.88 | $0.960 | $1.8 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 3.15 | $0.920 | $2.9 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?No | buy | 10.49 | $0.999 | $10.48 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of January 5 above $165?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.999 | $1.1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.9 | $0.930 | $2.7 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?No | buy | 6.21 | $0.998 | $6.2 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.55 | $0.969 | $1.5 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.940 | $1.4 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.66 | $0.962 | $1.6 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.973 | $1.8 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.63 | $0.979 | $1.6 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.960 | $1.6 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.48 | $0.881 | $1.3 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $124,000 and $126,000 on October 16?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.999 | $1.4 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?No | buy | 3.69 | $0.949 | $3.5 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $110K on September 8?Yes | buy | 16.33 | $0.990 | $16.17 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $106K on September 8?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.997 | $2.49K | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $108K on September 8?Yes | sell | 2.99K | $0.980 | $2.93K | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $108K on September 8?Yes | buy | 2.99K | $0.860 | $2.57K | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $114K on September 8?No | sell | 2.96K | $0.870 | $2.57K | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $114K on September 8?No | buy | 1K | $0.900 | $900 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $3600 on August 29?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.998 | $1.32 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $118K on August 29?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.989 | $1.5 | Aug 28, 2025 |