Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 16.5 | $0.060 | $0.74 | -$0.25 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in August?Yes | sell | 6.5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | 9d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 20 |
| $0.050 |
| $0.63 |
| -$0.37 |
 Will Patrick Brown win the 2026 Brampton mayoral election? | No | 25 | $0.040 | $0.53 | -$0.48 |
 Will María Teresa Guerra Ochoa win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election? | Yes | 25 | $0.040 | $0.45 | -$0.55 |
 Cambria FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 25 | $0.040 | $0.34 | -$0.66 |
 Will the Detroit Tigers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | Yes | 25 | $0.040 | $0.16 | -$0.84 |
 Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 25 | $0.040 | $0.15 | -$0.85 |
 Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | Yes | 5 | $0.040 | $0.12 | -$0.08 |
 Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 2.1 | $0.050 | $0.12 | +$0.01 |
| Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? | Yes | 1.03 | $0.049 | $0.07 | +$0.02 |
 Reckless Ben in jail by December 31? | Yes | 0.69 | $0.080 | $0.04 | -$0.01 |
 Will Michael Bush win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election? | Yes | 25 | $0.040 | $0.01 | -$0.99 |
| sell |
| 7.29 |
| $0.001 |
| $0.01 |
| 9d ago |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in August?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.001 | $0.01 | 9d ago |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | 9d ago |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | 9d ago |
 Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.001 | $0.01 | 9d ago |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 28?No | sell | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | 12d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 28?No | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | 12d ago |
 Will Yash Patel be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 7)?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | 13d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.003 | $0.06 | 19d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 19?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | 21d ago |
 Brazil bans Discord by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | 25d ago |
| Brazil bans Discord by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | 25d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 14?Yes | sell | 10.12 | $0.010 | $0.1 | 26d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 12?Yes | sell | 1.33 | $0.975 | $1.3 | 28d ago |
 Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Aug 9, 2026 |