Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | No | 14.51 | $0.999 | $14.51 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | buy | 14.51 | $0.999 | $14.5 | 8d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 14.51 |
| $0.999 |
| $14.5 |
| 8d ago |
| Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 14.51 | $0.999 | $14.5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by July 31?No | buy | 14.54 | $0.997 | $14.5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 11?No | buy | 87.49 | $0.999 | $87.4 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 87.39 | $0.999 | $87.3 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?Yes | buy | 87.38 | $0.999 | $87.29 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No | buy | 87.09 | $0.999 | $87 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?Yes | buy | 87.19 | $0.999 | $87.1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?No | buy | 87.09 | $0.999 | $87 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | buy | 88.11 | $0.999 | $88.02 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?No | buy | 88.02 | $0.999 | $87.93 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 19?Yes | buy | 87.92 | $0.997 | $87.65 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 11?Yes | buy | 87.68 | $0.999 | $87.6 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 11?No | buy | 646.5 | $0.002 | $1.29 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No | buy | 89.11 | $0.999 | $89.02 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 89.04 | $0.999 | $88.95 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 24?No | buy | 90.35 | $0.999 | $90.26 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 14?Yes | buy | 90.26 | $0.999 | $90.17 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 14?No | buy | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | buy | 91.56 | $0.999 | $91.47 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 8?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?No | buy | 92.87 | $0.999 | $92.78 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?No | buy | 92.79 | $0.998 | $92.6 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?No | buy | 92.59 | $0.999 | $92.5 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 30?No | buy | 92.5 | $0.999 | $92.41 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No | buy | 92.41 | $0.999 | $92.32 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?No | buy | 92.09 | $0.999 | $92 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?No | buy | 53.11 | $0.998 | $53 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in December?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.998 | $1.24 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.999 | $1.36 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.997 | $1.58 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.999 | $1.36 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.999 | $1.36 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.998 | $1.26 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.999 | $1.22 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.999 | $1.48 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.998 | $1.36 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.997 | $1.25 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.999 | $1.28 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.993 | $1.36 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $500b on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.996 | $1.2 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $470b and $480b on December 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |