Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 114.16 | $0.930 | $106.17 | Dec 5, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 28.35 |
| $0.890 |
| $25.23 |
| Dec 1, 2025 |
 Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 106.17 | $0.994 | $105.53 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?No | buy | 40.31 | $0.961 | $38.72 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 73.3 | $0.968 | $70.95 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 19.55 | $0.997 | $19.49 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 129.16 | $0.987 | $127.48 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 127.48 | $0.987 | $125.82 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?Yes | buy | 125.83 | $0.978 | $123.06 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?No | buy | 123.05 | $0.999 | $122.93 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?No | buy | 122.94 | $0.970 | $119.25 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Pump.fun market cap (FDV) <$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 104.09 | $0.968 | $100.79 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.983 | $14.89 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Pelicans vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves | buy | 34.65 | $0.640 | $22.18 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?No | buy | 15.36 | $0.989 | $15.2 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?No | buy | 46.75 | $0.988 | $46.19 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 15.2 | $0.991 | $15.06 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?No | buy | 24.02 | $0.991 | $23.8 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 69.36 | $0.984 | $68.25 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.7 | $0.980 | $15.39 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 15.39 | $0.956 | $14.71 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be 98 or higher?No | buy | 14.7 | $0.999 | $14.69 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be less than 43.0% on May 16?No | buy | 14.69 | $0.997 | $14.65 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1500 on May 9?No | buy | 14.65 | $0.984 | $14.42 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 3.54K | $0.985 | $3.49K | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 3.54K | $0.985 | $3.49K | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 3.54K | $0.986 | $3.49K | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 14.42 | $0.992 | $14.3 | Apr 30, 2025 |