Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 12.61 | $0.999 | $12.61 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 12.61 | $0.999 | $12.6 | 2d ago |
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| buy |
| 12.51 |
| $0.999 |
| $12.5 |
| 17d ago |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 12.51 | $0.999 | $12.5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | buy | 161.32 | $0.998 | $161 | May 31, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 6?No | buy | 8.01 | $0.999 | $8 | May 5, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 6?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.002 | $2.1 | May 5, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?Yes | buy | 153.15 | $0.999 | $153 | May 5, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 27?Yes | buy | 163.14 | $0.999 | $162.98 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No | buy | 164.15 | $0.999 | $163.98 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No | buy | 164.05 | $0.998 | $163.72 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No | buy | 102.28 | $0.997 | $101.97 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No | buy | 61.05 | $0.999 | $60.99 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No | buy | 163.33 | $0.998 | $163 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | buy | 161.66 | $0.998 | $161.34 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 403.33 | $0.003 | $1.21 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 160.32 | $0.998 | $160 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 31m?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 5?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.991 | $1.4 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No | buy | 160.16 | $0.999 | $160 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 163.46 | $0.998 | $163.13 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?No | buy | 163.13 | $0.999 | $162.97 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?No | buy | 162.96 | $0.999 | $162.8 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 162.8 | $0.999 | $162.64 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?No | buy | 162.64 | $0.999 | $162.48 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?No | buy | 162.47 | $0.999 | $162.31 | Jan 21, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?No | buy | 162.16 | $0.999 | $162 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 9?Yes | buy | 103.7 | $0.027 | $2.8 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?No | buy | 164.16 | $0.999 | $164 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?No | buy | 154.26 | $0.998 | $153.95 | Dec 21, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?No | buy | 140.39 | $0.999 | $140.25 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.999 | $1.45 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.992 | $1.13 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.999 | $1.45 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?Yes | buy | 1.36 | $0.999 | $1.36 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Will Bryn Kenney win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.999 | $1.37 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.998 | $1.45 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Panthers vs. AvalancheAvalanche | buy | 9.38 | $0.690 | $6.47 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No | buy | 155.16 | $0.999 | $155 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in November 2025?No | buy | 150.15 | $0.999 | $150 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Daniel Noboa in November?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.988 | $1.54 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.998 | $1.45 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.983 | $1.24 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.992 | $1.1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?No | buy | 157.16 | $0.999 | $157 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?No | buy | 155.16 | $0.999 | $155 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No | buy | 156.47 | $0.999 | $156.31 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will the price of Solana be above $220 on October 20?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.998 | $1.4 | Oct 20, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 20?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.999 | $1.4 | Oct 20, 2025 |