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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Waymo launch in Boston, MA by December 31 2026? | Yes | 259 | $0.230 | $14.25 | -$45.33 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 58m by August 31?Yes | sell | 11.5 | $0.130 | $1.5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
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| No |
| 62 |
| $0.250 |
| $9.11 |
| -$6.39 |
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? | Yes | 0.59 | $0.300 | $0.17 | -$0 |
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%? | Yes | 0.48 | $0.010 | $0.02 | +$0.02 |
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat? | Yes | 0.13 | $0.250 | $0.02 | -$0.01 |
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 0.37 | $0.380 | $0 | -$0.14 |
| sell |
| 198.99 |
| $0.364 |
| $72.34 |
| Jul 23, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 24?Yes | sell | 98.45 | $0.344 | $33.83 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Chase Infiniti be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?Yes | sell | 1.03 | $0.150 | $0.15 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Jon Bernthal or Tom Holland say "World Cup" on Hot Ones?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.030 | $0.72 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.99 | $0.101 | $0.91 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 24?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.325 | $7.16 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.257 | $14.14 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 24?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.270 | $4.5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Chase Infiniti be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?Yes | sell | 48.97 | $0.172 | $8.4 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Chase Infiniti be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Gary Cordery win the 2026 Hawaii Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Mitchell Berman be the WI-01 Democratic nominee?No | sell | 7.89 | $0.130 | $1.03 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 24, 2026?No | sell | 55 | $0.070 | $3.85 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.120 | $2.64 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 55 | $0.340 | $18.7 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 41.2 | $0.301 | $12.41 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.380 | $8.36 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?No | sell | 55 | $0.230 | $12.65 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will GamerLegion Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.025 | $0.55 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 24?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.160 | $3.52 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Over $40M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.110 | $6.05 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?No | sell | 8.99 | $0.330 | $2.97 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?No | sell | 101.01 | $0.330 | $33.33 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will MrBeast say "Karl" during his next YouTube video?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 22 | $0.210 | $4.62 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 55 | $0.090 | $4.95 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Over $40M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes | sell | 43.98 | $0.142 | $6.25 | Jul 22, 2026 |
RipCars FDV above $3M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.190 | $4.18 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.103 | $5.69 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Tally Gotliv win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Yes | sell | 1.12 | $0.080 | $0.09 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Paper Rex Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.320 | $0.64 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 23?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.240 | $0.72 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 30, 2026?No | sell | 4.59 | $0.250 | $1.15 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?No | sell | 22 | $0.050 | $1.1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Aurora Qualify to The 2026 Blast Bounty Season 2 Online Stage 2?No | sell | 22 | $0.091 | $2 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Haley Stevens win Washtenaw County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.142 | $3.13 | Jul 22, 2026 |
FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.050 | $2.75 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 22?No | sell | 110 | $0.020 | $2.22 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Tally Gotliv win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Paper Rex Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.419 | $46.1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 30, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.350 | $7.7 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 23?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.288 | $4.9 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 23?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 23?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.259 | $4.93 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.350 | $19.25 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.110 | $2.42 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.191 | $4.2 | Jul 22, 2026 |