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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.150 | $25 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 70.27 |
| $0.016 |
| $1.12 |
| Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will a country leave BRICS before 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.033 | $0.33 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before September?Yes | sell | 24.26 | $0.020 | $0.49 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Yes | sell | 95.05 | $0.100 | $9.51 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | sell | 188.88 | $0.070 | $13.22 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | sell | 15.07 | $0.055 | $0.83 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran before 2026?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.190 | $1.46 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 47.13 | $0.021 | $1 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Syria strikes Israel by July 31?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | buy | 15.07 | $0.066 | $1 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?Yes | sell | 23.71 | $0.431 | $10.22 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.32 | $0.190 | $2.72 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Major U.S. bank bailout in 2025?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.090 | $2.25 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.210 | $3 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?Yes | buy | 23.71 | $0.422 | $10 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?Yes | buy | 7.75 | $0.129 | $1 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?Yes | sell | 41.79 | $0.383 | $16.01 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.260 | $4 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Will Wesley So win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?Yes | sell | 67.55 | $0.040 | $2.7 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 21.05 | $0.190 | $4 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Megaquake before August?Yes | sell | 116.03 | $0.035 | $4.06 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.170 | $3 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will a country leave BRICS before 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Kash Patel out by July 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before August?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?No | sell | 11.42 | $0.510 | $5.82 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Will OPEC cut production by next meeting?Yes | sell | 213.71 | $0.002 | $0.33 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will Dommaraju Gukesh win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?Yes | buy | 549.2 | $0.013 | $7 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Hans Niemann win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?Yes | buy | 32.53 | $0.061 | $2 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Wesley So win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.047 | $2 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?Yes | buy | 40.82 | $0.049 | $2 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?Yes | buy | 41.79 | $0.024 | $1 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 40.77 | $0.200 | $8.15 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?Yes | sell | 53.76 | $0.160 | $8.6 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Dommaraju Gukesh win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.011 | $2 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.300 | $2.31 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Dommaraju Gukesh win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?Yes | buy | 112.18 | $0.009 | $1 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?Yes | sell | 28.57 | $0.040 | $1.14 | Jul 4, 2025 |