Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 0.97 | $0.935 | $0.93 | +$0.03 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 338 | $0.120 | $40.56 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 0.12 |
| $0.940 |
| $0.1 |
| -$0.01 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 0.75 | $0.160 | $0.05 | -$0.07 |
| sell |
| 315 |
| $0.090 |
| $28.35 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 55 | $0.098 | $5.4 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 83 | $0.090 | $7.47 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 183 | $0.850 | $155.55 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 160 | $0.972 | $155.52 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 160 | $0.971 | $155.36 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.190 | $9.88 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 172 | $0.920 | $158.24 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 172 | $0.920 | $158.24 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 153 | $0.115 | $17.6 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 153 | $0.113 | $17.29 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 272 | $0.530 | $144.16 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 186 | $0.108 | $20.09 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 161 | $0.820 | $132.02 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 191 | $0.840 | $160.44 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 63 | $0.910 | $57.33 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 63 | $0.910 | $57.33 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 187 | $0.860 | $160.82 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.002 | $0.04 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.032 | $0.86 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 49 | $0.035 | $1.72 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 288 | $0.520 | $149.76 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.930 | $5.58 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 164 | $0.042 | $6.89 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | sell | 50 | $0.989 | $49.45 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 166 | $0.989 | $164.17 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 159 | $0.018 | $2.86 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 159 | $0.740 | $117.66 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 34 | $0.670 | $22.78 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 219 | $0.680 | $148.92 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 339 | $0.380 | $128.82 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 339 | $0.380 | $128.82 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 133 | $0.988 | $131.4 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 113 | $0.033 | $3.73 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 148 | $0.988 | $146.22 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 86 | $0.950 | $81.7 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 86 | $0.954 | $82.04 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 168 | $0.955 | $160.44 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 170 | $0.440 | $74.8 | May 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 178 | $0.440 | $78.32 | May 30, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 149 | $0.964 | $143.64 | May 29, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 166 | $0.953 | $158.2 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | buy | 134 | $0.012 | $1.61 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 59 | $0.984 | $58.06 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 59 | $0.985 | $58.12 | May 28, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 247 | $0.540 | $133.38 | May 27, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 169 | $0.869 | $146.86 | May 26, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 235 | $0.657 | $154.4 | May 26, 2026 |