Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 88.21 | $0.670 | $30.43 | -$28.67 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 88.21 | $0.670 | $59.1 | 29d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.010 |
| $1 |
| Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during July Press Conference?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Consumer Confidence" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.110 | $6.6 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Recession" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.230 | $1.61 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Dollar" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.350 | $3.5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Iran" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 30.95 | $0.240 | $7.43 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.17K | $0.002 | $28.34 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.760 | $15.2 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETDown | buy | 40.48 | $0.204 | $8.26 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 169.96 | $0.820 | $139.37 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 95.04 | $0.820 | $77.93 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 58.39 | $0.810 | $47.3 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?No | sell | 270 | $0.980 | $264.6 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?No | buy | 270 | $0.979 | $264.33 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?No | buy | 332.16 | $0.964 | $320.2 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?No | sell | 169.15 | $0.957 | $161.91 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 630.73 | $0.560 | $353.21 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?No | buy | 84.28 | $0.960 | $80.91 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 74.61 | $0.760 | $56.7 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.550 | $33 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 33.24 | $0.550 | $18.28 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.07 | $0.550 | $7.19 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?No | buy | 40.28 | $0.850 | $34.24 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?No | buy | 23.95 | $0.960 | $22.99 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.907 | $54.42 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 394.73 | $0.760 | $299.99 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?No | buy | 49.39 | $0.917 | $45.29 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 70.42 | $0.653 | $45.98 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 125.11 | $0.720 | $90.08 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | sell | 40 | $0.800 | $32 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?No | sell | 29.19 | $0.840 | $24.52 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | sell | 35 | $0.936 | $32.76 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 310 | $0.780 | $241.8 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.820 | $32.8 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 35 | $0.880 | $30.8 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?No | buy | 29.19 | $0.860 | $25.1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.210 | $0.22 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 270.27 | $0.034 | $9.19 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 556.44 | $0.016 | $8.9 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 1.49K | $0.210 | $312.87 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 9?Yes | buy | 404.46 | $0.011 | $4.45 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 9?Yes | buy | 379.59 | $0.010 | $3.8 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 9?Yes | buy | 32.79 | $0.054 | $1.77 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 3PM ETUp | buy | 25.04 | $0.240 | $6.01 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 8?Up | sell | 17 | $0.310 | $5.27 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 19.74 | $0.760 | $15 | Jan 8, 2026 |