Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.050 | $2.25 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 24 |
| $0.969 |
| $23.26 |
| May 31, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.310 | $10.23 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 24 | $0.810 | $19.44 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.800 | $19.2 | May 30, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 37 | $0.690 | $25.53 | May 29, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 37 | $0.690 | $25.53 | May 29, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | sell | 36 | $0.844 | $30.38 | May 28, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 36 | $0.840 | $30.24 | May 28, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 47 | $0.580 | $27.26 | May 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.600 | $21.6 | May 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.590 | $6.49 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 32 | $0.956 | $30.59 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 32 | $0.956 | $30.59 | May 27, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 34 | $0.848 | $28.83 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 National League Championship?No | sell | 12 | $0.940 | $11.28 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Larry Ellison buy TikTok before July?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.013 | $0.43 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 National League Championship?No | buy | 12 | $0.961 | $11.53 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will Larry Ellison buy TikTok before July?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.015 | $1.05 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $2300 and $2400 on June 20?No | buy | 12 | $0.983 | $11.8 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 12 | $0.981 | $11.77 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 8 | $0.974 | $7.79 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 8 | $0.965 | $7.72 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Flamengo win the FIFA Club World Cup?No | sell | 8 | $0.962 | $7.7 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will Flamengo win the FIFA Club World Cup?No | buy | 8 | $0.968 | $7.74 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will Jack Draper win Wimbledon 2025?No | sell | 6 | $0.928 | $5.57 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will Jack Draper win Wimbledon 2025?No | buy | 6 | $0.928 | $5.57 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.069 | $1.17 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?No | sell | 8 | $0.987 | $7.9 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?No | buy | 8 | $0.982 | $7.86 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport less than 250,000?No | sell | 11 | $0.750 | $8.25 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport less than 250,000?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.223 | $4.46 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Will Benfica win the FIFA Club World Cup?No | sell | 13 | $0.982 | $12.77 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Will Benfica win the FIFA Club World Cup?No | buy | 13 | $0.981 | $12.75 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?No | sell | 13 | $0.957 | $12.44 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?No | buy | 13 | $0.953 | $12.39 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?No | sell | 13 | $0.951 | $12.36 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?No | buy | 13 | $0.953 | $12.39 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.107 | $0.54 | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 43 | $0.110 | $4.73 | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.111 | $1.78 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 14 | $0.983 | $13.76 | Apr 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair?No | sell | 14 | $0.993 | $13.9 | Apr 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair?No | buy | 14 | $0.993 | $13.9 | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people?No | sell | 14 | $0.978 | $13.69 | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people?No | buy | 14 | $0.978 | $13.69 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?No | sell | 14 | $0.970 | $13.58 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?No | buy | 14 | $0.974 | $13.64 | Apr 1, 2025 |
 Arsenal wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 34 | $0.033 | $1.12 | Mar 31, 2025 |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.034 | $0.41 | Mar 28, 2025 |