Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 23.26 | $0.430 | $11.51 | +$1.51 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | 8d ago |
 |
| No |
| 12.6 |
| $0.480 |
| $6.87 |
| +$0.82 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 12.66 | $0.612 | $5.63 | -$2.12 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5.34 | +$0.34 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8.65 | $0.570 | $4.45 | -$0.48 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 3.25 | $0.400 | $1.12 | -$0.18 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | No | 6.36 | $0.220 | $0.67 | -$0.73 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.240 | $0.44 | -$1.06 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.06 | $0.510 | $0.41 | -$1.15 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6 | $0.220 | $0.39 | -$0.93 |
| buy |
| 15.68 |
| $0.500 |
| $7.84 |
| 11d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.220 | $2.75 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 19.88 | $0.510 | $10.14 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.99 | $0.499 | $1.99 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.610 | $1.86 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.640 | $1.95 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of July 27 2026?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.500 | $1.91 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.510 | $1.56 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Virtu Financial (VIRT) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 4.01 | $0.279 | $1.12 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 13.66 | $0.740 | $10.11 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?Yes | buy | 6.5 | $0.260 | $1.69 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" during White House Correspondents Dinner?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.270 | $1.62 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.760 | $4.62 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.390 | $1.19 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $172.50 Week of July 20 2026?No | buy | 19.37 | $0.520 | $10.07 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $157 Week of July 20 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.420 | $3.36 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $165 Week of July 20 2026?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.380 | $2.85 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.25 | $0.480 | $4.44 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.800 | $4.86 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will "Biology" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No | buy | 6.81 | $0.740 | $5.04 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 France vs. England: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.270 | $1.62 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.420 | $3.36 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.290 | $1.74 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.800 | $4.86 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.460 | $4.14 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No | buy | 7.62 | $0.650 | $4.95 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Under | buy | 4.21 | $0.237 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on July 14?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.780 | $4.74 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $175 Week of July 13 2026?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.850 | $5.16 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.800 | $4.86 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.410 | $3.28 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.75 | $0.280 | $1.89 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.800 | $4.86 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.25 | $0.480 | $4.44 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.770 | $4.68 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Under | buy | 4.44 | $0.225 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No | buy | 7.55 | $0.656 | $4.95 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.800 | $4.86 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?Yes | buy | 8.8 | $0.560 | $4.93 | Jul 8, 2026 |