Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? | Yes | 3.74K | $0.802 | $1.33K | -$1.67K |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.07K | $0.641 | $683.84 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 312.5 |
| $0.320 |
| $100 |
| Feb 24, 2026 |
| Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.832 | $1K | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.802 | $1K | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.29K | $0.774 | $1K | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.937 | $1K | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No | buy | 3.45K | $0.290 | $1K | Dec 19, 2025 |
 S&P 500 all time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 271.03 | $0.369 | $100 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.698 | $1K | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.800 | $1K | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | sell | 106.38 | $0.820 | $87.23 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | sell | 3.28K | $0.600 | $1.97K | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 3.28K | $0.610 | $2K | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.883 | $4.42K | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.850 | $2.13K | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.850 | $2.13K | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 4.55K | $0.629 | $2.86K | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 649.54 | $0.490 | $318.27 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.79K | $0.559 | $1K | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.82K | $0.550 | $1K | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2.63K | $0.350 | $921.05 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | sell | 103.56 | $0.975 | $100.97 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.84K | $0.543 | $1K | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 103.56 | $0.966 | $100 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 454.54 | $0.539 | $245.07 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 9.51K | $0.008 | $72.85 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again?No | sell | 144.58 | $0.675 | $97.59 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 277.77 | $0.820 | $227.77 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.550 | $250 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 649.55 | $0.770 | $500 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.63K | $0.380 | $1K | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 9.51K | $0.011 | $100 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?No | buy | 144.58 | $0.692 | $100 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.720 | $100 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.720 | $100 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?Yes | buy | 216.09 | $0.926 | $200 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?No | buy | 217.39 | $0.920 | $200 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 517.32 | $0.992 | $513.21 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa get between 10% and 13% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 517.32 | $0.193 | $100 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 10.89 | $0.918 | $10 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.918 | $1K | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Nov 4, 2025 |