Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 93.41 | $0.540 | $56.51 | +$6.07 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 239.42 | $0.500 | $119.71 | 19d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 0.4 |
| $0.500 |
| $0.2 |
| +$0 |
| buy |
| 262.16 |
| $0.500 |
| $131.08 |
| Jul 17, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 247.5 | $0.500 | $123.75 | May 5, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 257.26 | $0.500 | $128.63 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - March 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETUp | buy | 228.49 | $0.500 | $114.24 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 884.4 | $0.630 | $557.17 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.979 | $2.06 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 47.44 | $0.617 | $29.27 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 756.27 | $0.620 | $468.89 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | sell | 1.03K | $0.590 | $607.7 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | buy | 739.7 | $0.730 | $540.25 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 224.43 | $0.280 | $62.84 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3AM ETDown | buy | 233.9 | $0.500 | $116.95 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3AM ETDown | sell | 254.24 | $0.490 | $124.58 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3AM ETDown | buy | 250.21 | $0.500 | $125.1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 6AM ETUp | buy | 233.1 | $0.500 | $116.55 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 3AM ETDown | buy | 141.65 | $0.510 | $72.24 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - January 2, 6AM ETDown | buy | 208.35 | $0.510 | $106.26 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 5AM ETUp | buy | 200.71 | $0.508 | $101.86 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 384.61 | $0.510 | $196.15 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.19K | $0.140 | $166.32 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 93.41 | $0.540 | $50.44 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6AM ETDown | buy | 123.08 | $0.510 | $62.77 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4AM ETUp | buy | 971.89 | $0.521 | $506.66 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETDown | buy | 100.37 | $0.512 | $51.43 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETDown | buy | 100.88 | $0.513 | $51.8 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Ry Armstrong win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?No | sell | 18.19 | $0.997 | $18.14 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will Ry Armstrong win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?No | buy | 18.2 | $0.999 | $18.18 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on July 9?No | sell | 18.37 | $0.989 | $18.18 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on July 9?No | buy | 18.38 | $0.999 | $18.36 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 50% on May 31?Yes | sell | 19.03 | $0.965 | $18.36 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 50% on May 31?Yes | buy | 19.03 | $0.970 | $18.46 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will Solana hit $300 in March?No | sell | 18.63 | $0.991 | $18.46 | Mar 13, 2025 |
| Will Solana hit $300 in March?No | buy | 18.63 | $0.994 | $18.52 | Mar 13, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?No | sell | 18.59 | $0.996 | $18.52 | Jan 4, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 18.6 | $0.997 | $18.54 | Jan 4, 2025 |
 Democrats win popular vote by 7% or more?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.001 | $6 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?No | sell | 11.89 | $0.981 | $11.66 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?No | buy | 11.89 | $0.982 | $11.68 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.04K | $0.001 | $6.04 | Oct 11, 2024 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 7.58K | $0.001 | $7.58 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.66K | $0.001 | $5.66 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Will Léon Marchand win the most gold medals?Yes | sell | 166.19 | $0.974 | $161.81 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Will Léon Marchand win the most gold medals?Yes | buy | 166.2 | $0.999 | $166 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | sell | 228.03 | $0.987 | $225.07 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | buy | 228.03 | $0.990 | $225.75 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | sell | 220.09 | $0.999 | $219.87 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | buy | 220.09 | $0.999 | $219.87 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No | sell | 231.54 | $0.975 | $225.75 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No | buy | 231.54 | $0.978 | $226.45 | Aug 6, 2024 |