Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?No | buy | 164.37 | $0.694 | $114 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 150 |
| $0.760 |
| $114 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.800 | $120 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?No | sell | 120 | $0.960 | $115.2 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | sell | 3.75 | $0.999 | $3.75 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 3.75 | $0.933 | $3.5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?No | buy | 120 | $0.830 | $99.6 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?Yes | buy | 47.46 | $0.590 | $28 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | sell | 625 | $0.006 | $3.75 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?Yes | sell | 176.47 | $0.013 | $2.29 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 733.33 | $0.012 | $8.8 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.004 | $0.42 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 176.47 | $0.034 | $6 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.007 | $5 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.008 | $5 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.015 | $10 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Yes | sell | 668.6 | $0.060 | $40.38 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Yes | buy | 668.61 | $0.082 | $55 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 1.24K | $0.060 | $74.25 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.24K | $0.080 | $99 | Jan 18, 2026 |