Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?Yes | sell | 140.14 | $0.004 | $0.56 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 120.36 |
| $0.001 |
| $0.12 |
| Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?No | sell | 113.76 | $0.999 | $113.65 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will another coalition form the next German Government?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.020 | $4.01 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.640 | $0.64 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 399 | $0.665 | $265.14 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.623 | $249.24 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?No | buy | 100 | $0.712 | $71.21 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 299.77 | $0.920 | $275.79 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 115 | $0.090 | $10.35 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?No | sell | 407.96 | $0.995 | $405.92 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win by 10-12%?Yes | buy | 318.88 | $0.314 | $100 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win by 6-8%?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.290 | $26.1 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 337.49 | $0.260 | $87.75 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 337.49 | $0.040 | $13.65 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 135 | $0.120 | $16.2 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.240 | $48 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win by 6-8%?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU win more seats than SPD and Greens?No | buy | 50.82 | $0.197 | $10 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.450 | $45 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.962 | $72.18 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.069 | $2.76 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will FDP be part of the next German government?No | buy | 15 | $0.750 | $11.25 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?Yes | buy | 44.78 | $0.067 | $3 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Will The Left make it into the Bundestag as a Fraktion?Yes | sell | 19.99 | $0.910 | $18.19 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.230 | $23 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Will FDP be part of the next German government?No | buy | 8.68 | $0.780 | $6.77 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.230 | $23 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win by 6-8%?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.160 | $12.8 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win by 8-10%?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.250 | $22.5 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win between 30% and 32% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.450 | $2.7 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win between 28% and 30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.240 | $48 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win between 30% and 32% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.460 | $11.5 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.001 | $0.25 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.630 | $252 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.160 | $48 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU and Greens form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.039 | $2.73 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 Will the Greens win the second most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Feb 8, 2025 |
| Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.033 | $1.02 | Feb 8, 2025 |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.910 | $22.75 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?No | sell | 19.99 | $0.850 | $16.99 | Jan 4, 2025 |
 Cybertruck explosion perp arrested by Sunday?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Jan 2, 2025 |
| Will The Left make it into the Bundestag as a Fraktion?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | Jan 1, 2025 |
| Will Grünen win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.005 | $3 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.003 | $0.08 | Dec 31, 2024 |
 Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Dec 31, 2024 |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?No | buy | 55 | $0.861 | $47.36 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Will Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2024?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.001 | $0.04 | Dec 30, 2024 |