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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 1.64K | $0.069 | $49.99 | -$63.43 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETUp | buy | 213.28 | $0.110 | $23.46 | 2d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 943.02 |
| $0.085 |
| $46.21 |
| -$34.41 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.061 | $39.5 | -$21.5 |
 Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? | Yes | 505.47 | $0.099 | $31.09 | -$18.95 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 400 | $0.047 | $25.8 | +$7 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.04K | $0.021 | $24.46 | +$2.6 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026? | Yes | 174.38 | $0.250 | $22.67 | -$20.95 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 99.98 | $0.350 | $20.5 | -$14.5 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 300 | $0.047 | $16.95 | +$2.85 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 704.87 | $0.087 | $12.34 | -$48.91 |
 Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 619.35 | $0.111 | $11.15 | -$57.49 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 362.03 | $0.068 | $9.05 | -$15.49 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | No | 300 | $0.173 | $6.15 | -$45.85 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.090 | $5.5 | -$3.5 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 7, 2026? | No | 99.7 | $0.080 | $4.94 | -$3.04 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | Yes | 329.38 | $0.050 | $4.12 | -$12.35 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Yes | 214.82 | $0.041 | $4.08 | -$4.83 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027? | Yes | 51.7 | $0.064 | $3.44 | +$0.13 |
 Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.090 | $2.65 | -$6.35 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 204.6 | $0.115 | $2.25 | -$21.3 |
 Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026? | Yes | 32.22 | $0.093 | $1.29 | -$1.71 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027? | Yes | 13.23 | $0.060 | $0.93 | +$0.13 |
 2026 Balance of Power: Other | Yes | 145.79 | $0.007 | $0.51 | -$0.51 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.38 | $0.215 | $0.27 | -$0.03 |
 Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 103.99 | $0.039 | $0.05 | -$4 |
| buy |
| 6.22 |
| $0.510 |
| $3.17 |
| 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETDown | buy | 105.54 | $0.210 | $22.16 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETDown | buy | 103.85 | $0.460 | $47.77 | 2d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETDown | buy | 100.59 | $0.370 | $37.22 | 3d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETUp | buy | 100.15 | $0.520 | $52.08 | 3d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETUp | buy | 106.72 | $0.097 | $10.37 | 3d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 106.88 | $0.030 | $3.21 | 3d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 106.32 | $0.140 | $14.88 | 3d ago |
 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 212.78 | $0.210 | $44.68 | 3d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 399.21 | $0.440 | $175.65 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETDown | buy | 300 | $0.339 | $101.55 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETDown | buy | 25.6 | $0.092 | $2.36 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETUp | sell | 105.93 | $0.453 | $48 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETUp | buy | 105.93 | $0.150 | $15.89 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETDown | buy | 104.53 | $0.380 | $39.72 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETUp | buy | 95.06 | $0.320 | $30.42 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETUp | buy | 78.37 | $0.240 | $18.81 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETUp | buy | 104.84 | $0.330 | $34.6 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETDown | buy | 20.87 | $0.274 | $5.72 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETDown | buy | 20.66 | $0.540 | $11.16 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12PM ETUp | buy | 75 | $0.400 | $30 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12PM ETDown | buy | 104 | $0.450 | $46.8 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETUp | sell | 65.28 | $0.603 | $39.38 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETUp | buy | 314.99 | $0.310 | $97.65 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETUp | buy | 102.88 | $0.060 | $6.17 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.283 | $28.35 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETDown | buy | 315.92 | $0.260 | $82.14 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETDown | buy | 25.11 | $0.530 | $13.31 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETDown | buy | 313.15 | $0.377 | $118.2 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETUp | buy | 317.79 | $0.168 | $53.41 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETDown | buy | 306.17 | $0.260 | $79.6 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETDown | buy | 104.3 | $0.370 | $38.61 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 102.23 | $0.270 | $27.6 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 113.37 | $0.009 | $1.02 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?No | buy | 102.2 | $0.275 | $28.11 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 101.52 | $0.500 | $50.76 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 70.75 | $0.041 | $2.9 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?No | buy | 14.63 | $0.058 | $0.85 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?No | sell | 128.8 | $0.999 | $128.67 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?No | buy | 178.76 | $0.046 | $8.22 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 197.09 | $0.050 | $9.85 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 207.03 | $0.150 | $31.05 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 102.58 | $0.160 | $16.41 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 10.03 | $0.890 | $8.93 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 102.52 | $0.180 | $18.45 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 20, 2026?No | buy | 43.28 | $0.070 | $3.03 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes | buy | 45.62 | $0.540 | $24.63 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?No | buy | 101.89 | $0.380 | $38.72 | Jun 18, 2026 |