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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election? | No | 168 | $0.880 | $113.4 | -$34.44 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 10?Yes | sell | 25.23 | $0.130 | $3.28 | 44m ago |
 |
| No |
| 138 |
| $0.780 |
| $76.38 |
| -$31.26 |
 Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | Yes | 200.01 | $0.730 | $60 | -$86 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 30%-35%? | No | 76.7 | $0.820 | $52.92 | -$9.97 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 45%-50%? | No | 66.33 | $0.850 | $47.43 | -$8.95 |
 Will Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election? | No | 60.91 | $0.880 | $44.46 | -$9.14 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 25%-30%? | No | 56 | $0.850 | $38.92 | -$8.68 |
 Will Trump say "No Tax on Tips" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 63 | $0.870 | $37.49 | -$17.33 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 200 | $0.070 | $26.6 | +$12.6 |
 Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026? | No | 36 | $0.880 | $26.46 | -$5.22 |
 Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft? | No | 56.12 | $0.600 | $26.1 | -$7.58 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | No | 24.03 | $0.984 | $24.02 | +$0.37 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000? | No | 37 | $0.790 | $23.13 | -$6.11 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,250,000 and 4,500,000? | No | 36 | $0.790 | $20.7 | -$7.74 |
 Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | No | 36 | $0.880 | $19.98 | -$11.7 |
 Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 127 | $0.310 | $17.15 | -$22.23 |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 110-114 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | No | 16 | $0.800 | $14.48 | +$1.68 |
 Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 50.84 | $0.430 | $13.22 | -$8.64 |
 Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours? | No | 20 | $0.780 | $12.3 | -$3.3 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30? | Yes | 34 | $0.650 | $12.24 | -$9.86 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | No | 32.15 | $0.450 | $12.22 | -$2.25 |
 Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | No | 14 | $0.680 | $8.54 | -$0.98 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 0%-15%? | Yes | 182 | $0.180 | $8.19 | -$24.57 |
 Will Meccha Chameleon win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? | Yes | 200 | $0.180 | $7.6 | -$28.4 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 63 | $0.090 | $7.25 | +$1.58 |
| sell |
| 21.34 |
| $0.149 |
| $3.19 |
| 1h ago |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September?Yes | sell | 47.99 | $0.300 | $14.4 | 1h ago |
 Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.046 | $2.07 | 2h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 10?No | sell | 34 | $0.780 | $26.52 | 2h ago |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?No | sell | 40 | $0.700 | $28 | 3h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 10?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.192 | $4.62 | 4h ago |
 Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.49% in September?Yes | sell | 23.03 | $0.650 | $14.97 | 4h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 10?Yes | sell | 20.43 | $0.122 | $2.5 | 4h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 10?No | sell | 5.12 | $0.790 | $4.04 | 5h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 10?No | sell | 48.09 | $0.800 | $38.47 | 5h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 10?No | sell | 15.24 | $0.820 | $12.5 | 5h ago |
 Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.230 | $34.5 | 6h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 10?Yes | sell | 14.31 | $0.210 | $3.01 | 6h ago |
 Will Dplus Challengers win LCK CL 2026?Yes | sell | 102 | $0.440 | $44.88 | 6h ago |
 Will Per Svensson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?No | sell | 200 | $0.860 | $172 | 7h ago |
 Will WHERE IS MY HUSBAND! (RAYE) win Record of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.140 | $5.74 | 7h ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,400?Yes | sell | 173 | $0.017 | $2.94 | 8h ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?No | sell | 134.14 | $0.722 | $96.84 | 9h ago |
 Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 98.00 in September?No | sell | 100 | $0.520 | $52 | 9h ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 13.23 | $0.150 | $1.98 | 9h ago |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | sell | 99 | $0.450 | $44.55 | 9h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 10?No | sell | 1.78 | $0.810 | $1.44 | 9h ago |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by less than 4%?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | 10h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 10?Yes | sell | 2.62 | $0.180 | $0.47 | 10h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 10?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | 10h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on September 10?Yes | sell | 17.51 | $0.160 | $2.8 | 10h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 10?Yes | sell | 16.38 | $0.227 | $3.71 | 10h ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | sell | 174 | $0.530 | $92.22 | 10h ago |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | sell | 156 | $0.440 | $68.64 | 11h ago |
 GTA VI released by November 30?No | sell | 29.04 | $0.070 | $2.03 | 11h ago |
 Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?No | sell | 37 | $0.870 | $32.19 | 11h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 10?Yes | sell | 23.97 | $0.192 | $4.6 | 11h ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Yes | sell | 60.7 | $0.535 | $32.47 | 11h ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.125 | $25.07 | 12h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,800?No | sell | 183 | $0.007 | $1.28 | 12h ago |
 SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20.45 | $0.110 | $2.25 | 12h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 10?No | sell | 33 | $0.670 | $22.11 | 13h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on September 9?Yes | sell | 30.29 | $0.210 | $6.36 | 14h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.190 | $38 | 14h ago |
| Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be less than 82%?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.030 | $1.8 | 14h ago |
 Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Yes | sell | 18.95 | $0.430 | $8.15 | 15h ago |
| Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Yes | sell | 88.05 | $0.470 | $41.38 | 15h ago |
 Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.720 | $144 | 15h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on September 10?Yes | sell | 36.97 | $0.198 | $7.33 | 15h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 10?Yes | sell | 31.72 | $0.210 | $6.66 | 16h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 9?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.110 | $6.05 | 17h ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Yes | sell | 131 | $0.851 | $111.48 | 18h ago |
 Will Sandro Alex win the Governor of Paraná election?No | sell | 62.35 | $0.850 | $52.97 | 18h ago |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in September?No | sell | 27 | $0.840 | $22.68 | 18h ago |