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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No| buy |
| 26.18 |
| $0.764 |
| $20 |
| May 25, 2026 |
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 39.27 | $0.764 | $30 | May 25, 2026 |
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | May 22, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | May 22, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 10.08 | $0.992 | $10 | May 22, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | sell | 20.28 | $0.995 | $20.18 | May 22, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?Yes | sell | 21.27 | $0.997 | $21.21 | May 22, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | buy | 20.28 | $0.986 | $20 | May 21, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 20.94 | $0.955 | $20 | May 21, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | May 21, 2026 |
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | May 21, 2026 |
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.420 | $20 | May 21, 2026 |
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 11.12 | $0.899 | $10 | May 21, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | May 20, 2026 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?No | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Aug 6, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in July?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Astronomer Divorce ParlayNo | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Aug 1, 2025 |
10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?No | buy | 6.96 | $0.920 | $6.4 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will MAS‑IPSP win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?No | sell | 11.49 | $0.993 | $11.41 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Jul 27, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Jul 27, 2025 |
Will Trump mention "South Park" by Sunday?No | sell | 7.69 | $0.100 | $0.77 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Friday?No | buy | 10.21 | $0.979 | $10 | Jul 25, 2025 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?No | sell | 14.45 | $0.995 | $14.38 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Friday?No | buy | 7.61 | $0.920 | $7 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Will Trump mention "South Park" by Sunday?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 14.88 | $0.672 | $10 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jul 22, 2025 |
Megaquake by August 31?No | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Jul 22, 2025 |
Megaquake before August?No | buy | 20.55 | $0.973 | $20 | Jul 22, 2025 |
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?No | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Jul 22, 2025 |
Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda by July 31?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jul 21, 2025 |
Will Israel strike Syria on July 22?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.066 | $1 | Jul 21, 2025 |
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?No | buy | 28.99 | $0.690 | $20 | Jul 21, 2025 |
Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda by July 31?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?No | buy | 11.4 | $0.877 | $10 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda by July 31?No | buy | 3.61 | $0.830 | $3 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?Yes | sell | 15.38 | $0.070 | $1.08 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Jul 19, 2025 |