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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 4.86K | $0.539 | $2.35K | -$261.71 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.230 | $8.05 | 20d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 13.24K |
| $0.218 |
| $1.92K |
| -$973.85 |
| buy |
| 1.79K |
| $0.235 |
| $419.49 |
| 20d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.53K | $0.200 | $905.37 | 20d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 677 | $0.200 | $135.4 | 20d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.81K | $0.230 | $1.34K | 20d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 397.27 | $0.220 | $87.4 | 20d ago |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 6.18K | $0.490 | $3.03K | 20d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.75K | $0.951 | $3.57K | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.720 | $28.8 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.720 | $115.2 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 590 | $0.720 | $424.8 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.790 | $1.58K | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1.68K | $0.550 | $922.52 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.43K | $0.673 | $5K | Jun 1, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.25K | $0.690 | $5K | Jun 1, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.84K | $0.731 | $5K | Jun 1, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.89K | $0.186 | $1.84K | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | sell | 7.37K | $0.948 | $6.98K | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | sell | 5.75K | $0.962 | $5.53K | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 9 | $0.983 | $8.85 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 62.39 | $0.982 | $61.27 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 55 | $0.980 | $53.9 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 8.31K | $0.984 | $8.18K | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 125.2 | $0.976 | $122.2 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes | buy | 19.17 | $0.991 | $19 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes | buy | 2.82K | $0.930 | $2.62K | May 9, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 10.91K | $0.998 | $10.89K | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 480.83 | $0.985 | $473.62 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | sell | 475.47 | $0.996 | $473.57 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 894 | $0.964 | $861.82 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 475.47 | $0.988 | $469.76 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 140.94 | $0.940 | $132.48 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 140.94 | $0.780 | $109.93 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 104.09 | $0.957 | $99.61 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.954 | $2.92 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.950 | $1.36K | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 40.16 | $0.947 | $38.03 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.948 | $189.6 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 540.26 | $0.944 | $510.01 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.98K | $0.877 | $3.49K | Nov 29, 2025 |