Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 55.89 | $0.984 | $54.86 | -$0.14 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 5.08 |
| $0.984 |
| $5 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 6.13 | $0.979 | $6 | Feb 28, 2026 |
5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 5.15 | $0.971 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.991 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will Vít Rakušan be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.0%?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.997 | $8 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.998 | $8 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 51.2K | $0.995 | $50.95K | Sep 23, 2025 |
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 51.2K | $0.996 | $51K | Sep 23, 2025 |
Will Trump send the national guard to New York City?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 55.89 | $0.984 | $55 | Aug 30, 2025 |
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Aug 30, 2025 |
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31?No | buy | 8.19 | $0.977 | $8 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Will Mikie Sherrill win NJ Governor Dem primary by >15%?No | buy | 4.01 | $0.997 | $4 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Trump approval >45% on June 1?Yes | buy | 5.07 | $0.987 | $5 | May 30, 2025 |
Trump approval >40% on June 1?Yes | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | May 30, 2025 |
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Prince Edward Island in the next Canadian ElectionYes | buy | 5.17 | $0.968 | $5 | Apr 28, 2025 |
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?Yes | buy | 4.44 | $0.900 | $4 | Apr 28, 2025 |
Megaquake in March?No | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | Mar 29, 2025 |
Did Kamala buy ads on Majority Report?No | buy | 4.02 | $0.996 | $4 | Mar 29, 2025 |
Houthis successfully attack shipping in March?No | buy | 8.1 | $0.988 | $8 | Mar 29, 2025 |
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 8.25 | $0.970 | $8 | Feb 28, 2025 |
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Feb 28, 2025 |
Lula out before April?No | buy | 7.09 | $0.987 | $7 | Feb 28, 2025 |
Will Ian Nepomnichtchi win the Champions Chess Tour Finals?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Dec 20, 2024 |
Will Bayern Munich beat RB Leipzig?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Dec 20, 2024 |
Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?Yes | buy | 6.07 | $0.988 | $6 | Dec 20, 2024 |
Will RB Leipzig beat Bayern Munich?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.930 | $6 | Dec 20, 2024 |
Runway closures due to Mystery Drones by Friday?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Dec 20, 2024 |
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?No | buy | 7.15 | $0.979 | $7 | Dec 20, 2024 |
Ripple above $2.40 on December 20?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.996 | $6 | Dec 20, 2024 |
Mystery drones shot down by Friday?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Dec 20, 2024 |
Will Newcastle lead the EPL in points at midway point?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Dec 20, 2024 |
Congress passes funding bill before Trump inauguration?Yes | buy | 8.14 | $0.860 | $7 | Dec 20, 2024 |
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?No | buy | 8.12 | $0.985 | $8 | Dec 20, 2024 |
Will Mircea Geoană win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Dec 20, 2024 |
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?Yes | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Dec 12, 2024 |
Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Dec 12, 2024 |
Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Dec 12, 2024 |
Will Wisconsin be the closest state?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Dec 12, 2024 |
Will Trump win Wyoming by the largest margin?Yes | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Dec 12, 2024 |
2024 November hottest on record?No | buy | 6.04 | $0.993 | $6 | Dec 7, 2024 |
U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Dec 7, 2024 |
Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Dec 7, 2024 |
Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Dec 7, 2024 |
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?Yes | buy | 7.34 | $0.954 | $7 | Dec 7, 2024 |
Will Wisconsin be the closest state?Yes | buy | 7.01 | $0.998 | $7 | Dec 7, 2024 |