Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 78.95 | $0.190 | $1.3 | -$13.7 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?No | buy | 10.34 | $0.290 | $3 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 32.26 |
| $0.031 |
| $1 |
| Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy by December 31?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by October 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Nord Stream pipeline turned on in 2025?Yes | buy | 27.35 | $0.037 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by October 31?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.083 | $3 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Stepanivka by October 31?Yes | buy | 40.42 | $0.049 | $2 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?Yes | buy | 147.06 | $0.034 | $5 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?Yes | buy | 12.84 | $0.467 | $6 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.25 | $0.155 | $5 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 130.89 | $0.029 | $3.8 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 64 | $0.150 | $9.6 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 78.95 | $0.190 | $15 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?Yes | buy | 78.95 | $0.190 | $15 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Ford Motor (F) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 34.04K | $0.001 | $34.04 | Oct 10, 2025 |