Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 5.46K | $0.532 | $846.09 | -$2.06K |
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.690 | $4.14 | Jul 31, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 106 |
| $0.774 |
| $30.74 |
| -$51.3 |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes | 33 | $0.260 | $9.08 | +$0.5 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.910 | $4.85 | +$0.3 |
| buy |
| 15 |
| $0.700 |
| $10.5 |
| Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.774 | $41.02 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in July 2026?No | buy | 121 | $0.600 | $72.6 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 123.9 | $0.780 | $96.64 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Yes | buy | 112.05 | $0.390 | $43.7 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 89.1 | $0.999 | $89.01 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.350 | $31.5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?No | buy | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?No | buy | 10.61 | $0.670 | $7.11 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No | sell | 22.84 | $0.890 | $20.33 | Apr 23, 2026 |
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?No | buy | 448.39 | $0.223 | $100 | Apr 22, 2026 |
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.65 | $0.400 | $5.06 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No | buy | 22.61 | $0.800 | $18.09 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 185.16 | $0.032 | $5.92 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 109.5 | $0.030 | $3.34 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.35 | $0.624 | $23.31 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 929.68 | $0.026 | $24.14 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 386.05 | $0.025 | $9.63 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 74.71 | $0.023 | $1.72 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.42 | $0.605 | $23.24 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 44.86 | $0.608 | $27.26 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.09 | $0.605 | $4.29 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 371.14 | $0.402 | $149.3 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 997.3 | $0.527 | $525.74 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.27K | $0.416 | $525.74 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 2.12K | $0.617 | $1.31K | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.46K | $0.240 | $1.31K | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.73 | $0.160 | $0.92 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 92.59 | $0.540 | $50 | Apr 13, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will MONOPOLY GO!Chat be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?Yes | buy | 9.67 | $0.990 | $9.57 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?Yes | sell | 58.07 | $0.029 | $1.66 | Apr 9, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 183.04 | $0.998 | $182.67 | Apr 8, 2026 |
North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 645.13 | $0.880 | $567.96 | Apr 8, 2026 |
North Korea missile test/launch by April 15?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 203.24 | $0.380 | $77.23 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.54 | $0.370 | $9.08 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 315 | $0.360 | $113.4 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 42.72 | $0.350 | $14.95 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.61 | $0.340 | $1.57 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.340 | $6.8 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.61K | $0.600 | $965.51 | Apr 7, 2026 |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.260 | $8.58 | Apr 6, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 11.68 | $0.997 | $11.64 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 981.14 | $0.640 | $627.93 | Apr 5, 2026 |