Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 204.18 | $0.679 | $120.47 | -$18.12 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 USD1 depeg by December 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.050 | $0.25 | 5d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 150 |
| $0.795 |
| $112.5 |
| -$6.79 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 100 | $0.860 | $98.45 | +$12.45 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 69 | $0.910 | $62.45 | -$0.34 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 69.36 | $0.880 | $60 | -$1.04 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 70 | $0.804 | $53.55 | -$2.74 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | Yes | 69.01 | $0.860 | $43.48 | -$15.87 |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? | No | 46 | $0.924 | $42.9 | +$0.39 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 40.55 | $0.939 | $35.68 | -$2.4 |
 LoL: Maryville University vs NRG Esports - Game 4 Winner | Maryville University | 29.01 | $0.854 | $28.99 | +$4.23 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? | Yes | 70 | $0.770 | $23.45 | -$30.45 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 30 | $0.760 | $22.95 | +$0.15 |
| Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by September 30, 2026? | No | 25 | $0.770 | $18.63 | -$0.63 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | No | 25.49 | $0.680 | $17.97 | +$0.64 |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Yes | 54.01 | $0.340 | $17.82 | -$0.54 |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 55 | $0.270 | $15.13 | +$0.28 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 40 | $0.334 | $14.98 | +$1.62 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 10 | $0.974 | $9.81 | +$0.07 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 20 | $0.480 | $9.5 | -$0.1 |
| Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.56 | $0.759 | $5.74 | -$1.52 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.330 | $2.65 | -$0.65 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 25 | $0.100 | $1.88 | -$0.63 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1.73 | $0.927 | $1.59 | -$0.01 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | Yes | 4.66 | $0.750 | $1.03 | -$2.47 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1 | $0.918 | $0.81 | -$0.11 |
| sell |
| 80 |
| $0.080 |
| $6.4 |
| 6d ago |
 Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsLegacy | sell | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | 18d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.86 | $0.510 | $5.54 | 20d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 46.79 | $0.480 | $22.46 | 20d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETUp | buy | 20 | $0.475 | $9.5 | 22d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 366.12 | $0.142 | $51.83 | 22d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETUp | buy | 20 | $0.575 | $11.49 | 22d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 46 | $0.924 | $42.5 | 23d ago |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.334 | $13.36 | 23d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETUp | buy | 50 | $0.570 | $28.5 | 23d ago |
| LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 WinnerT1 | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | 24d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETUp | buy | 20 | $0.460 | $9.2 | 24d ago |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 114.2 | $0.016 | $1.81 | 24d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 49 | $0.035 | $1.72 | 24d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.036 | $0.18 | 24d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 178.99 | $0.029 | $5.2 | 24d ago |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.785 | $7.85 | 25d ago |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?No | buy | 33.18 | $0.810 | $26.88 | 25d ago |
 Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.47 | $0.450 | $2.46 | 26d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.720 | $144 | 27d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.670 | $134 | 27d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.840 | $42 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonShopify Rebellion | buy | 100 | $0.365 | $36.55 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.431 | $9.91 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 11.57 | $0.432 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 11.57 | $0.432 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Yes | sell | 109.27 | $0.323 | $35.34 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.431 | $4.74 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 11.57 | $0.432 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Yes | buy | 13.91 | $0.359 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.432 | $1.3 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.432 | $1.3 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.432 | $1.3 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.432 | $1.3 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.432 | $1.3 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.432 | $1.3 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.432 | $1.3 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.432 | $1.3 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.431 | $2.16 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.431 | $2.16 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.432 | $2.16 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.432 | $1.3 | Aug 7, 2026 |