Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?No | sell | 2.15 | $0.968 | $2.08 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.45 |
| $0.959 |
| $1.39 |
| Nov 7, 2025 |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?No | buy | 2.16 | $0.960 | $2.07 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Gaza by Oct 31?No | buy | 1.62 | $0.997 | $1.62 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.5 | $0.630 | $1.58 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Megaquake by August 31?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.983 | $1.05 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?Yes | sell | 2.4 | $0.830 | $1.99 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Megaquake by August 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?Yes | buy | 2.41 | $0.830 | $2 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested by August 31?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.820 | $0.92 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.860 | $0.9 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.880 | $0.94 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Harvard international students ban ended by August 31?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will Drake release an album by August 15?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.974 | $1.04 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?No | sell | 1.64 | $0.800 | $1.31 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.730 | $1.2 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Drake release an album by August 15?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested by August 31?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Harvard international students ban ended by August 31?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before August?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.995 | $1.02 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 US forces in Iran in 2025?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.880 | $0.98 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Odell Beckham Jr. in jail in 2025?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.550 | $0.57 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Diddy be sentenced to life in prison?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.961 | $0.97 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Iranian officials visit the White House before August?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.996 | $1.05 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran before August?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.984 | $1.24 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| US forces in Iran in 2025?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| US x Iran ceasefire before August?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran before August?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Iranian officials visit the White House before August?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Iranian hackers release Trump emails by next Friday?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Odell Beckham Jr. in jail in 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Diddy be sentenced to life in prison?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI acquire Chrome before before August?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 OpenAI announces development of glasses/headset before August?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.965 | $1.01 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | sell | 1.33 | $0.740 | $0.98 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.26 | $0.550 | $0.69 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI accuse Microsoft of violating antitrust before August?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.982 | $1.14 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 DeepSeek R2 released before July?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.975 | $1.4 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 DeepSeek V4 released before July?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI acquire Chrome before before August?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| OpenAI announces development of glasses/headset before August?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI accuse Microsoft of violating antitrust before August?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jun 19, 2025 |