Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.967 | $5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 5.05 |
| $0.988 |
| $4.99 |
| Jul 15, 2026 |
Waymo IPO before 2027?No | sell | 7.38 | $0.964 | $7.11 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 7.23 | $0.991 | $7.16 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 12 | $0.993 | $11.92 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 15.59 | $0.972 | $15.15 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 20.72 | $0.994 | $20.6 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Austria win on 2026-07-02? | buy | 14.67 | $0.675 | $9.9 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 4.2K | $0.993 | $4.17K | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.430 | $516 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 1.54K | $0.750 | $1.16K | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 2.63K | $0.585 | $1.54K | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2K | $0.938 | $1.88K | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 3.52K | $0.673 | $2.37K | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.820 | $1.23K | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.32K | $0.959 | $1.27K | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.52K | $0.793 | $1.21K | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.260 | $395.2 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2.02K | $0.792 | $1.6K | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 3.31K | $0.766 | $2.54K | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? AND Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw? | buy | 8.86 | $0.784 | $6.95 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 20.73 | $0.965 | $20 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 15.59 | $0.962 | $15 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No | buy | 11.58 | $0.950 | $11 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1K | $0.940 | $940 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.890 | $1.11K | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.61K | $0.907 | $1.46K | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 873 | $0.956 | $834.59 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 2.15K | $0.948 | $2.04K | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 28?No | buy | 50.05 | $0.999 | $50 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 28?No | buy | 252.34 | $0.999 | $252 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 5K | $0.946 | $4.73K | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.46K | $0.215 | $528.04 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.946 | $1.32K | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 2.84K | $0.794 | $2.25K | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 1.2K | $0.740 | $888 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on June 25?No | buy | 366.37 | $0.999 | $366 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2K | $0.852 | $1.7K | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 5.37K | $0.807 | $4.34K | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.26K | $0.946 | $1.19K | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.43K | $0.075 | $407.25 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 800 | $0.807 | $645.6 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.760 | $912 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 1.34K | $0.820 | $1.1K | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.769 | $808.99 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 2K | $0.430 | $860 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 5.42K | $0.892 | $4.84K | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.384 | $384 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1K | $0.848 | $848 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.951 | $1.06K | Jun 24, 2026 |