Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 575.15 | $0.998 | $574 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 573.57 |
| $0.999 |
| $573 |
| May 28, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?No | sell | 573.72 | $0.999 | $573.15 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?No | buy | 573.72 | $0.997 | $572 | May 13, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 570.57 | $0.999 | $570 | May 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 571.14 | $0.998 | $570 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 571.15 | $0.991 | $566.01 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 9.53 | $0.987 | $9.41 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.941 | $9.41 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 2.71 | $0.986 | $2.67 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.935 | $9.35 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 553.77 | $0.985 | $545.46 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | buy | 557.48 | $0.997 | $555.81 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?Yes | buy | 555.82 | $0.999 | $555.26 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 209.62 | $0.993 | $208.15 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 209.2 | $0.995 | $208.15 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 345.64 | $0.993 | $343.22 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 343.21 | $0.999 | $342.87 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Han Duck-soo in jail by January 31?Yes | buy | 342.87 | $0.999 | $342.53 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?No | buy | 342.53 | $0.999 | $342.19 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-10?No | buy | 342.18 | $0.999 | $341.84 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 209.21 | $0.956 | $200 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 353.97 | $0.968 | $342.64 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 353.97 | $0.969 | $343 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in January?No | buy | 200 | $0.995 | $199 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets in January 2026?No | buy | 542 | $0.998 | $540.92 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 65.61 | $0.997 | $65.41 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.984 | $98.4 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.826 | $8.43 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 20?Yes | buy | 246.06 | $0.999 | $245.81 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 18?Yes | buy | 418.06 | $0.998 | $417.22 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.984 | $98.4 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 15?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.998 | $99.8 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 10?Yes | buy | 302.57 | $0.999 | $302.27 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 10?Yes | buy | 213.94 | $0.999 | $213.73 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?No | buy | 517.03 | $0.997 | $515.48 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 524.38 | $0.983 | $515.47 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 242.6 | $0.974 | $236.29 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 281.79 | $0.980 | $276.15 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 429.61 | $0.540 | $231.99 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 546.4 | $0.930 | $508.15 | Nov 28, 2025 |