Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 21.66 | $0.320 | $6.39 | -$0.54 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 7.87 | $0.630 | $4.96 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 12.21 |
| $0.560 |
| $6.29 |
| -$0.55 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 11.18 | $0.390 | $6.09 | +$1.73 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 11.66 | $0.410 | $5.66 | +$0.87 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 6.08 | $0.770 | $5.44 | +$0.76 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 11.45 | $0.400 | $4.35 | -$0.23 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.06 | $0.390 | $4.15 | +$1.01 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8 | $0.460 | $4.12 | +$0.44 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.5 | $0.220 | $2.51 | +$0.64 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | No | 9.09 | $0.240 | $2.5 | +$0.32 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 6.57 | $0.250 | $1.94 | +$0.3 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.5 | $0.440 | $1.68 | -$2.94 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 6 | $0.210 | $1.11 | -$0.15 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8 | $0.210 | $1.08 | -$0.6 |
| buy |
| 3.93 |
| $0.760 |
| $2.99 |
| Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?No | buy | 9.17 | $0.520 | $4.77 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.730 | $4.81 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 14?Up | buy | 11.18 | $0.610 | $6.82 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.03 | $0.229 | $1.38 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.770 | $4.68 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.730 | $4.81 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.5 | $0.220 | $1.87 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.360 | $2.7 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No | buy | 6.85 | $0.741 | $5.07 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.260 | $1.71 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.330 | $3.3 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 Week of July 6 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.270 | $1.62 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $144 Week of June 22 2026?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.350 | $1.05 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.240 | $1.46 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.770 | $4.68 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.65 | $0.550 | $4.76 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.460 | $3.68 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.410 | $4.51 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.880 | $5.34 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.210 | $1.68 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.210 | $1.47 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.220 | $1.65 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.21 | $0.560 | $6.84 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?Yes | buy | 8.88 | $0.134 | $1.19 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.290 | $2.61 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $21.5B?No | buy | 11 | $0.410 | $4.51 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.12 | $0.760 | $6.93 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 8.5 | $0.220 | $1.87 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | buy | 10.18 | $0.334 | $3.4 | May 13, 2026 |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.5 | $0.440 | $4.62 | May 12, 2026 |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?Up | buy | 11.18 | $0.610 | $6.82 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 11.45 | $0.400 | $4.58 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $138 Week of May 11 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.270 | $2.43 | May 11, 2026 |
| Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 11?Up | buy | 12.25 | $0.440 | $5.39 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.91 | $0.210 | $1.45 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.98 | $0.310 | $2.47 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.610 | $6.78 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.66 | $0.410 | $4.78 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Yes | buy | 9.83 | $0.400 | $3.93 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 13.46 | $0.660 | $8.88 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.83 | $0.220 | $1.28 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No | buy | 8.75 | $0.800 | $7 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?Yes | buy | 9.44 | $0.270 | $2.55 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?No | buy | 8.82 | $0.330 | $2.91 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | buy | 10.44 | $0.670 | $6.99 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Designer Brands Inc (DBI) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 7.15 | $0.560 | $4 | Mar 24, 2026 |