Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.840 | $4.66 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 48.75 |
| $0.130 |
| $6.34 |
| Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.268 | $13.4 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No | sell | 123.15 | $0.374 | $46.07 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETUp | buy | 4.85 | $0.440 | $2.13 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 256.58 | $0.001 | $0.26 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.042 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 208.96 | $0.048 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 239.99 | $0.041 | $9.84 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 5 | $0.378 | $1.89 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETUp | sell | 4.99 | $0.020 | $0.1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 18.27 | $0.884 | $16.16 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 14.66 | $0.830 | $12.17 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 20 | $0.607 | $12.14 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.61 | $0.830 | $3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Iran strike on US military by February 28?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.984 | $9.84 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.271 | $13.54 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 30 | $0.702 | $21.06 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.550 | $27.5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 20 | $0.908 | $18.16 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 30 | $0.913 | $27.39 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 20 | $0.913 | $18.26 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No | buy | 19.08 | $0.470 | $8.97 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Iran strike on US military by February 28?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.980 | $4.9 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 5 | $0.902 | $4.51 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 10 | $0.902 | $9.02 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETDown | buy | 4.87 | $0.360 | $1.75 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETUp | buy | 4.85 | $0.420 | $2.04 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.980 | $9.8 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETDown | sell | 18.05 | $0.940 | $16.97 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETDown | buy | 3.06 | $0.940 | $2.87 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETDown | buy | 9.99 | $0.950 | $9.49 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETDown | buy | 4.04 | $0.990 | $4 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETDown | buy | 16.08 | $0.960 | $15.43 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETDown | buy | 9.94 | $0.870 | $8.64 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETDown | buy | 9.98 | $0.930 | $9.28 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.980 | $9.8 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.980 | $9.8 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETDown | buy | 40 | $0.990 | $39.6 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.980 | $19.6 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.990 | $19.8 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETUp | buy | 40.4 | $0.990 | $40 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.750 | $50 | Feb 25, 2026 |