Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 2.49K | $0.852 | $2.1K | -$16.58 |
 EU dissolves before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.88K | $0.160 | $300 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.8K |
| $0.952 |
| $1.79K |
| +$73.18 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | No | 350.92 | $0.754 | $301.79 | +$37.26 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 1.88K | $0.160 | $290.63 | -$9.38 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 300 | $0.710 | $271.5 | +$58.5 |
 Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? | No | 221 | $0.900 | $213.71 | +$14.81 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 203.46 | $0.983 | $200.71 | +$0.71 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 200 | $0.870 | $192.3 | +$18.3 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 200 | $0.830 | $192.3 | +$26.3 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 200 | $0.820 | $189 | +$25 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 200 | $0.700 | $185 | +$45 |
 Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 120 | $0.983 | $119.76 | +$1.8 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 128.21 | $0.780 | $118.97 | +$18.97 |
 Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? | No | 119.99 | $0.850 | $111.53 | +$9.54 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 118 | $0.860 | $109.15 | +$7.67 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 103.52 | $0.966 | $99.95 | -$0.05 |
 Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.970 | $98.55 | +$1.55 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 104.6 | $0.956 | $96.39 | -$3.61 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 100 | $0.730 | $87.5 | +$14.5 |
 Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 87.15 | $0.983 | $87.02 | +$1.35 |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | No | 70 | $0.920 | $68.46 | +$4.06 |
 Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | No | 99.99 | $0.640 | $63.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 58.19 | $0.923 | $57.23 | +$3.52 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 50 | $0.640 | $24.25 | -$7.75 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.035 | $2.85 | -$0.65 |
| buy |
| 118 |
| $0.860 |
| $101.48 |
| May 7, 2026 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Yes | sell | 32.78 | $0.250 | $8.2 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 900 | $0.092 | $83.16 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.858 | $171.67 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 169.49 | $0.470 | $79.66 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No | buy | 357.14 | $0.700 | $250 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No | buy | 229.1 | $0.873 | $200 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No | buy | 718.76 | $0.696 | $500 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No | buy | 793.65 | $0.630 | $500 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?No | buy | 71 | $0.710 | $50.41 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 101.04 | $0.830 | $83.86 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.820 | $164 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 200 | $0.730 | $146 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?No | buy | 300 | $0.880 | $264 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 58.5 | $0.870 | $50.9 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.655 | $130.91 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?No | buy | 70 | $0.920 | $64.4 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.810 | $40.5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 104 | $0.960 | $99.84 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 208 | $0.960 | $199.68 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Megaquake by December 31?No | buy | 8.01 | $0.750 | $6.01 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 100 | $0.670 | $67 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 203.46 | $0.983 | $200 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?No | buy | 63.49 | $0.630 | $40 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?Yes | sell | 199.92 | $0.370 | $73.97 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.180 | $18 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?No | buy | 43.76 | $0.457 | $20 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Yes | sell | 46.51 | $0.543 | $25.25 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No | sell | 50 | $0.336 | $16.82 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.310 | $15.5 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.610 | $30.5 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No | buy | 100 | $0.970 | $97 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No | buy | 100 | $0.949 | $94.9 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No | buy | 100 | $0.933 | $93.3 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 >3.1 million TSA travelers any day November 23-30?Yes | buy | 39.22 | $0.510 | $20 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?No | buy | 133.87 | $0.747 | $100 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Yes | buy | 46.51 | $0.430 | $20 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?No | buy | 121.33 | $0.915 | $111.02 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump sue the BBC?No | buy | 50 | $0.750 | $37.5 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?No | buy | 50 | $0.580 | $29 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump say the "N word" in November?No | buy | 72 | $0.977 | $70.34 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 87.15 | $0.983 | $85.67 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 120 | $0.983 | $117.96 | Nov 25, 2025 |