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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | buy | 18.29 | $0.987 | $18.05 | Nov 21, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 18.08 |
| $0.986 |
| $17.83 |
| Oct 20, 2025 |
Will Qatar win Intervision 2025?No | sell | 5.49 | $0.999 | $5.48 | Sep 20, 2025 |
OpenAI browser by September 30?No | buy | 5.78 | $0.930 | $5.38 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will Qatar win Intervision 2025?No | buy | 5.5 | $0.979 | $5.38 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Kilmar Abrego Garcia deported by September 30?No | buy | 6.55 | $0.992 | $6.5 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?No | buy | 7.59 | $0.949 | $7.2 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | buy | 9.68 | $0.995 | $9.63 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 18?No | sell | 18.19 | $0.110 | $2 | Jul 17, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 18?No | buy | 18.2 | $0.560 | $10.19 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Will Trump Media invest in Ethereum before July?No | buy | 9.14 | $0.940 | $8.59 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Yankees vs. RedsReds | buy | 17 | $0.410 | $6.97 | Jun 24, 2025 |
Elon Musk out as Senior Advisor to Trump in May?No | sell | 10.17 | $0.016 | $0.16 | May 29, 2025 |
Elon Musk out as Senior Advisor to Trump in May?No | buy | 10.18 | $0.961 | $9.78 | May 26, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?No | buy | 9.18 | $0.955 | $8.77 | May 26, 2025 |
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by over 12%?No | buy | 6.39 | $0.973 | $6.22 | May 26, 2025 |
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.958 | $7.04 | May 18, 2025 |
Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 9.38 | $0.974 | $9.14 | May 18, 2025 |
Will Karol Nawrocki win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?No | buy | 8.26 | $0.963 | $7.95 | May 18, 2025 |
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 9.63 | $0.962 | $9.26 | May 12, 2025 |
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.572 | $57.2 | May 7, 2025 |
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?No | buy | 7.21 | $0.970 | $6.99 | May 6, 2025 |
Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 9.41 | $0.957 | $9.01 | May 6, 2025 |
Will San Marino finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No | buy | 7.51 | $0.943 | $7.08 | May 6, 2025 |
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.470 | $47 | May 6, 2025 |
Will U.S. GDP growth be less than -2% in Q1 2025?No | buy | 6.4 | $0.952 | $6.09 | Apr 27, 2025 |
Will Jerome Powell be out as Federal Reserve Chair in Trump's first 100 days?No | buy | 5.67 | $0.988 | $5.6 | Apr 18, 2025 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be out as Secretary of Health and Human Services in Trump's first 100 days?No | buy | 6.11 | $0.987 | $6.03 | Apr 16, 2025 |
Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense in Trump's first 100 days?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.984 | $6 | Apr 16, 2025 |
Will Scott Bessent be out as Secretary of the Treasury in Trump's first 100 days?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.983 | $5 | Apr 16, 2025 |
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine in 2025?No | buy | 29.19 | $0.750 | $21.89 | Mar 31, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on March 30?No | buy | 21.91 | $0.992 | $21.73 | Mar 30, 2025 |
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 National League Championship?No | sell | 374.67 | $0.994 | $372.42 | Mar 23, 2025 |
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 National League Championship?No | buy | 374.67 | $0.995 | $372.8 | Mar 23, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 55°F or below on March 22?No | buy | 21.73 | $0.999 | $21.71 | Mar 22, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on March 21?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.929 | $20.2 | Mar 21, 2025 |